DOI: 10.1002/wcc.478
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85019986515
论文题名: Trajectories of exposure and vulnerability of small islands to climate change
作者: Duvat V ; K ; E ; , Magnan A ; K ; , Wise R ; M ; , Hay J ; E ; , Fazey I ; , Hinkel J ; , Stojanovic T ; , Yamano H ; , Ballu V
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2017
卷: 8, 期: 6 语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climatology
; Decision making
; Economics
; Population statistics
; Reefs
; Climate variability and change
; Decision making process
; Driving factors
; Environmental change
; Environmental conditions
; Pacific islands
; Past and present
; Temporal dimensions
; Climate change
; Tobacco etch virus
英文摘要: This article advocates for a dynamic and comprehensive understanding of vulnerability to climate-related environmental changes in order to feed the design of adaptation future pathways. It uses the trajectory of exposure and vulnerability (TEV) approach that it defines as ‘storylines of driving factors and processes that have influenced past and present territorial system exposure and vulnerability to impacts associated with climate variability and change.’ The study is based on the analysis of six peer-reviewed Pacific island case studies covering various geographical settings (high islands vs low-lying reef islands, urban vs rural) and hazards associated with climate variability and change; that addressed the interactions between natural and anthropogenic driving factors; and adopted multidecadal past-to-present approaches. The findings emphasize that most urban and rural reef and high islands have undergone increasing exposure and vulnerability as a result of major changes in settlement and demographic patterns, lifestyles and economies, natural resources availability, and environmental conditions. The article highlights three generic and successive periods of change in the studied islands’ TEV: from geopolitical and political over the colonization-to-political independence period; to demographic, socio-economic, and cultural from the 1960s to the 1980s; culminating in the dominance of demographic, socio-economic, cultural, and environmental drivers since the 1980s. Based on these empirical insights, the article emphasizes the existence of anthropogenic-driven path-dependency effects in TEV, thus arguing for the analysis of the temporal dimensions of exposure and vulnerability to be a prerequisite for science to be able to inform policy- and decision-making processes toward robust adaptation pathways. WIREs Clim Change 2017, 8:e478. doi: 10.1002/wcc.478. For further resources related to this article, please visit the WIREs website. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76147
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Department of Geography, UMR LIENSs 7266, University of la Rochelle-CNRS, la Rochelle, France; Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations (IDDRI), Paris, France; Black Mountain Laboratories, Commonwealth Scientific Industrial and Research Organisation (CSIRO)ACT, Australia; University of the South Pacific, Cook Islands Campus, Rarotonga, Cook Islands; School of the Environment, University of Dundee, Dundee, United Kingdom; Global Climate Forum (GCF), Berlin, Germany; School of Geography and Sustainable Development, Scottish Oceans Institute, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, United Kingdom; Center for Environmental Biology and Ecosystem Studies, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan
Recommended Citation:
Duvat V,K,E,et al. Trajectories of exposure and vulnerability of small islands to climate change[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2017-01-01,8(6)