DOI: 10.1002/wcc.461
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85017371271
论文题名: The resilience of integrated agricultural systems to climate change
作者: Gil J ; D ; B ; , Cohn A ; S ; , Duncan J ; , Newton P ; , Vermeulen S
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2017
卷: 8, 期: 4 语种: 英语
英文关键词: Agriculture
; Climatology
; Agricultural system
; Climate variability and climate change
; Farming system
; Interannual climate variability
; Spatio-temporal scale
; Statistical approach
; Statistical modeling
; System integration
; Climate change
; annual variation
; climate change
; climate variation
; ecosystem resilience
; farming system
; numerical model
; statistical analysis
英文摘要: We reviewed studies addressing the extent to which more integrated agricultural systems (IAS) have been found to be more resilient to climate variability and climate change than more specialized agricultural systems. We found limited literature directly addressing the topic, necessitating the use of proxy measures to enlarge the sample. Where necessary, we used agricultural system richness and diversity as proxies for the presence of the sort of synergistic relationships that typify IAS, interannual climate variability for climate change, and myriad agricultural indicators for resilience. We found that (1) 37 papers addressed the topic either through mathematical modeling or statistical modeling; (2) in the statistical papers, integration was overwhelmingly (n = 17/24) associated with increased climate resilience; (3) these findings stemmed mainly from comparisons of more versus less diverse or rich farming systems, while few studies investigated the influence of farm system synergies on resilience; (4) yield, revenue, profit, and yield variance were all used to demonstrate resilience; (5) modeling studies tended to investigate resilience across multiple years, while most statistical approaches tracked single-year outcomes; (6) the IAS-climate resilience links demonstrated were not generalizable across units of analysis, spatiotemporal scale, and from autonomous to directed integration; and (7) few of the articles reviewed identified and measured the mechanism by which IAS were shown to have conferred resilience. Our findings reveal suggestive, although by no means conclusive, evidence that farm system integration can enhance resilience and highlight the need for research to test whether integration policies can have similar outcomes. WIREs Clim Change 2017, 8:e461. doi: 10.1002/wcc.461. For further resources related to this article, please visit the WIREs website. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76165
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Plant Production Systems Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands; The Fletcher School, Tufts University, Medford, MA, United States; School of Agriculture and Environment, University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia; Environmental Studies Program, University of Colorado-Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States; Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences, University of Copenhagen, København, Denmark
Recommended Citation:
Gil J,D,B,et al. The resilience of integrated agricultural systems to climate change[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2017-01-01,8(4)