DOI: 10.1002/wcc.418
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84976904437
论文题名: Reconstructing Earth's surface temperature over the past 2000 years: the science behind the headlines
作者: Smerdon J ; E ; , Pollack H ; N
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2016
卷: 7, 期: 5 起始页码: 746
结束页码: 771
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Atmospheric temperature
; Climate models
; Greenhouse gases
; Uncertainty analysis
; Atmospheric greenhouse
; Climate model simulations
; Climate variability and change
; Global temperatures
; Intergovernmental panel on climate changes
; Paleoclimate studies
; Temperature changes
; Temperature variability
; Climate change
; climate change
; climate modeling
; greenhouse gas
; paleoclimate
; proxy climate record
; reconstruction
; surface temperature
英文摘要: The last quarter century spans the publication of the first assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in 1990 and the latest report published in 2013–2014. The five assessment reports appearing over that interval reveal a marked increase in the number of paleoclimate studies addressing the climate of the last 2000 years (the Common Era). An important focus of this work has been on reconstruction of hemispheric and global temperatures. Several early studies in this area generated considerable scientific and public interest, and were followed by high-profile and sometimes vitriolic debates about the magnitude of temperature changes over all or part of the Common Era and their comparison to 20th- and 21st-century global temperature increases due to increasing levels of atmospheric greenhouse gases. Behind the more public debates, however, several consistent themes of scientific inquiry have developed to better characterize climate variability and change over the Common Era. These include attempts to collect more climate proxy archives and understand the signals they contain, improve the statistical methods used to estimate past temperature variability from proxies and their associated uncertainties, and to compare reconstructed temperature variability and change with climate model simulations. All of these efforts are driving a new age of research on the climate of the Common Era that is developing more cohesive and collaborative investigations into the dynamics of climate on time scales of decades to centuries, and an understanding of the implications for modeled climate projections of the future. WIREs Clim Change 2016, 7:746–771. doi: 10.1002/wcc.418. For further resources related to this article, please visit the WIREs website. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76215
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Division of Ocean and Climate Physics, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States; Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
Recommended Citation:
Smerdon J,E,, Pollack H,et al. Reconstructing Earth's surface temperature over the past 2000 years: the science behind the headlines[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2016-01-01,7(5)