globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.252
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84890352473
论文题名:
A compound event framework for understanding extreme impacts
作者: Leonard M; , Westra S; , Phatak A; , Lambert M; , van den Hurk B; , Mcinnes K; , Risbey J; , Schuster S; , Jakob D; , Stafford-Smith M
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2014
卷: 5, 期:1
起始页码: 113
结束页码: 128
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Storms ; Impact risk ; Influence diagram ; Model compound ; Physical variables ; Single variable ; Spatial and temporal scale ; Tropical cyclone ; Hazards ; air temperature ; atmospheric pressure ; climate conditions ; extreme event ; fire ; flood ; rainfall ; tropical cyclone ; weather
英文摘要: Climate and weather variables such as rainfall, temperature, and pressure are indicators for hazards such as tropical cyclones, floods, and fires. The impact of these events can be due to a single variable being in an extreme state, but more often it is the result of a combination of variables not all of which are necessarily extreme. Here, the combination of variables or events that lead to an extreme impact is referred to as a compound event. Any given compound event will depend upon the nature and number of physical variables, the range of spatial and temporal scales, the strength of dependence between processes, and the perspective of the stakeholder who defines the impact. Modeling compound events is a large, complex, and interdisciplinary undertaking. To facilitate this task we propose the use of influence diagrams for defining, mapping, analyzing, modeling, and communicating the risk of the compound event. Ultimately, a greater appreciation of compound events will lead to further insight and a changed perspective on how impact risks are associated with climate-related hazards. © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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被引频次[WOS]:448   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76310
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略

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作者单位: School of Civil, Environmental and Mining Engineering, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia; CSIRO Computational Informatics, Floreat, Australia; Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands; CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Australia; CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Hobart, Australia; Freelance Consultant, Australia; Bureau of Meteorology, Environment and Research, Melbourne, Australia; CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences, Black Mountain, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Leonard M,, Westra S,, Phatak A,et al. A compound event framework for understanding extreme impacts[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2014-01-01,5(1)
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