DOI: 10.1002/wcc.297
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84906245812
论文题名: The IPCC and treatment of uncertainties: Topics and sources of dissensus
作者: Adler C ; E ; , Hirsch Hadorn G
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2014
卷: 5, 期: 5 起始页码: 663
结束页码: 676
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change
; Assessment process
; Communicating science
; Deliberative process
; Effective communication
; Intergovernmental panel on climate changes
; Scope of application
; Sources of uncertainty
; User perspectives
; Air navigation
; climate change
; communication
; information
; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
英文摘要: Characterizing uncertainty in the assessment of evidence is common practice when communicating science to users, a prominent example being the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Reports (ARs). The IPCC guidance note is designed to assist authors in the assessment process by assuring consistent treatment of uncertainties across working groups (WGs). However, debate on this approach has surfaced among scholars on whether applying the guidance note indeed yields the desired consistent treatment of uncertainties thus facilitating effective communication of findings to users. The IPCC guidance note is therefore a paradigmatic case for reviewing concerns regarding treatment of uncertainties for policy. We reviewed published literature that outline disagreement or dissensus on the guidance note in the IPCC assessment process, structured as three distinct topics. First, whether the procedure is reliable and leads to robust results. Second, whether the broad scope of diverse problems, epistemic approaches, and user perspectives allow for consistent and appropriate application. Third, whether the guidance note is adequate for the purpose of communicating clear and relevant information to users. Overall, we find greater emphasis placed on problems arising from the procedure and purpose of the assessment, rather than the scope of application. Since a procedure needs to be appropriate for its purpose and scope, a way forward entails not only making deliberative processes more transparent to control biases. It also entails developing differentiated instruments to account for diversity and complexity of problems, approaches, and perspectives, treating sources of uncertainty as relevant information to users. © 2014 The Authors. WIREs Climate Change published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76339
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Environmental Philosophy Group, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland
Recommended Citation:
Adler C,E,, Hirsch Hadorn G. The IPCC and treatment of uncertainties: Topics and sources of dissensus[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2014-01-01,5(5)