DOI: 10.1002/wcc.209
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84874323048
论文题名: Detection and attribution of anthropogenic climate change impacts
作者: Rosenzweig C ; , Neofotis P
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2013
卷: 4, 期: 2 起始页码: 121
结束页码: 150
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Carbon
; Carbon dioxide
; Anthropogenic climate changes
; Anthropogenic forcing
; Climate change impact
; Detection and attributions
; Indigenous knowledge
; Intergovernmental panel on climate changes
; Northern Hemispheres
; Precipitation change
; Climate change
; anthropogenic effect
; climate change
; climate effect
; indigenous knowledge
; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
; Northern Hemisphere
; precipitation assessment
英文摘要: Human-influenced climate change is an observed phenomenon affecting physical and biological systems across the globe. The majority of observed impacts are related to temperature changes and are located in the northern high- and mid-latitudes. However, new evidence is emerging that demonstrates that impacts are related to precipitation changes as well as temperature, and that climate change is impacting systems and sectors beyond the Northern Hemisphere. In this paper, we highlight some of this new evidence-focusing on regions and sectors that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC AR4) noted as under-represented-in the context of observed climate change impacts, direct and indirect drivers of change (including carbon dioxide itself), and methods of detection. We also present methods and studies attributing observed impacts to anthropogenic forcing. We argue that the expansion of methods of detection (in terms of a broader array of climate variables and data sources, inclusion of the major modes of climate variability, and incorporation of other drivers of change) is key to discerning the climate sensitivities of sectors and systems in regions where the impacts of climate change currently remain elusive. Attributing such changes to human forcing of the climate system, where possible, is important for development of effective mitigation and adaptation. Current challenges in documenting adaptation and the role of indigenous knowledge in detection and attribution are described. © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76389
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Climate Impacts Group, New York, NY, United States; Department of Biological Sciences, Brooklyn College, City University of New York, Brooklyn, NY, United States; Graduate School and University Center, City University of New York, New York, NY, United States
Recommended Citation:
Rosenzweig C,, Neofotis P. Detection and attribution of anthropogenic climate change impacts[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2013-01-01,4(2)