| DOI: | 10.1002/wcc.40
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-79956262299
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| 论文题名: | Modeling impacts and adaptation in global IAMs |
| 作者: | Füssel H; -M
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| 刊名: | Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
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| ISSN: | 17577780
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| 出版年: | 2010
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| 卷: | 1, 期:2 | | 起始页码: | 288
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| 结束页码: | 303
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Climate models
; Isomers
; Adaptation decisions
; Adaptation to climate changes
; Climate instability
; Impacts and adaptation
; Integrated assessment models
; Mitigation policies
; Probabilistic analysis
; Sustainability issues
; Climate change
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| 英文摘要: | Integrated assessment models (IAMs) of climate change combine dynamic descriptions of the energy-economy system, the climate system, and climate impacts to support the formulation of global, and possibly regional, climate policy. Originally they have been designed to inform mitigation policy but some of them are now applied in the context of adaptation policy as well. This article reviews the modeling of climate impacts and adaptation in global IAMs, including both models with an economic focus and models with a science focus. Key advances in the representation of climate impacts in IAMs during the last decade include improved consideration of differences in impacts across regions, the development of nonmonetary reduced-form climate impact models, and coupling of global IAMs with regional and sectoral impact models to assess climate change together with other sustainability issues. Further advances include a stronger focus on probabilistic analysis and attempt at considering large-scale climate instabilities. Adaptation has received only limited attention in global IAMs so far, mostly due to the mismatch in spatial scales at which mitigation and adaptation decisions are generally made. Some recent IAMs attempt to identify optimal levels of adaptation in climate-sensitive sectors or do include adaptation to climate change explicitly as a decision variable. The main reason for the consideration of adaptation in global welfare-maximizing IAMs is to assess the sensitivity of mitigation targets to different assumptions about the magnitude and effectiveness of adaptation. IAMs with geographically explicit impact models may also provide information that is useful for adaptation planning. © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76527
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Sustainable Solutions, P.O. Box 60 12 03, D-14412, Potsdam, Germany
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Füssel H,-M. Modeling impacts and adaptation in global IAMs[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2010-01-01,1(2)
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