| DOI: | 10.1002/wcc.32
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-79957552905
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| 论文题名: | Representing and using scenarios for responding to climate change |
| 作者: | Rosentrater L; D
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| 刊名: | Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
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| ISSN: | 17577780
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| 出版年: | 2010
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| 卷: | 1, 期:2 | | 起始页码: | 253
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| 结束页码: | 259
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Technology
; Behavioral changes
; Change perceptions
; Climate change scenarios
; Climate studies
; Emissions scenarios
; Long term planning
; Scenario approach
; Scenario-based studies
; Climate change
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| 英文摘要: | Scenarios have become a standard tool in climate studies and provide the basis for our understanding of climate-related challenges, the mechanisms for adaptation, and options for mitigation. They can be thought of in two ways: either as products that describe outcomes resulting from specific driving forces, or as processes for establishing long-term planning targets.Commonscenario types include emissions scenarios, climate change scenarios, and socioeconomic scenarios, all of which are used in strategic planning to compare the potential consequences of different future contexts. Scenario-based studies also shape the information that is used to motivate the changes in behavior that are needed to achieve mitigation goals. This review presents some of the issues that arisewhen using scenarios for responding to climate change. Uncertainties associated with scenario approaches are an apparent barrier to the development of policies regarding climate change, especially at local and national scales. Scenarios are also ineffective at addressing noncognitive influences on climate change perception and therefore do not stimulate behavioral change. © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76558
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Department of Sociology and Human Geography, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Rosentrater L,D. Representing and using scenarios for responding to climate change[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2010-01-01,1(2)
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