globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.5194/hess-21-133-2017
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85009080646
论文题名:
Planning for climate change impacts on hydropower in the Far North
作者: Cherry E; J; , Knapp C; , Trainor S; , Ray J; A; , Tedesche M; , Walker S
刊名: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
ISSN: 10275606
出版年: 2017
卷: 21, 期:1
起始页码: 133
结束页码: 151
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate models ; Decision making ; Hydroelectric power ; Uncertainty analysis ; Water management ; Water resources ; Best practices ; Climate change impact ; Glacier recession ; Hydro-power development ; Hydrologic impacts ; Hydrologic response ; Permafrost thaws ; Waterresource management ; Climate change ; climate change ; decision making ; glacier ; hydroelectric power ; hydrological response ; permafrost ; uncertainty analysis ; water management ; water resource ; Arctic ; United States
英文摘要: Unlike much of the contiguous United States, new hydropower development continues in the Far North, where climate models project precipitation will likely increase over the next century. Regional complexities in the Arctic and sub-Arctic, such as glacier recession and permafrost thaw, however, introduce uncertainties about the hydrologic responses to climate change that impact water resource management. This work reviews hydroclimate changes in the Far North and their impacts on hydropower; it provides a template for application of current techniques for prediction and estimating uncertainty, and it describes best practices for integrating science into management and decision-making. The growing number of studies on hydrologic impacts suggests that information resulting from climate change science has matured enough that it can and should be integrated into hydropower scoping, design, and management. Continuing to ignore the best available information in lieu of status quo planning is likely to prove costly to society in the long term. © Author(s) 2017.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/79303
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: International Arctic Research, Center and Institute of Northern Engineering, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States; Department of Environment and Sustainability, Western State Colorado University, Gunnison, CO, United States; Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy, Uniersity of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States; Earth System Research Laboratory-Physical Sciences Division, National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration, Boulder, CO, United States; International Arctic Research Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States; National Oceanographic and Atmospheric, Administration-National Marine Fisheries Service, Juneau, AK, United States

Recommended Citation:
Cherry E,J,, Knapp C,et al. Planning for climate change impacts on hydropower in the Far North[J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2017-01-01,21(1)
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