globalchange  > 科学计划与规划
DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1397495
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85036644208
论文题名:
Ten key short-term sectoral benchmarks to limit warming to 1.5°C
作者: Kuramochi T; , Höhne N; , Schaeffer M; , Cantzler J; , Hare B; , Deng Y; , Sterl S; , Hagemann M; , Rocha M; , Yanguas-Parra P; A; , Mir G; -U; -R; , Wong L; , El-Laboudy T; , Wouters K; , Deryng D; , Blok K
刊名: Climate Policy
ISSN: 1469-3062
EISSN: 1752-7457
出版年: 2018
卷: 18, 期:3
起始页码: 287
结束页码: 305
语种: 英语
英文关键词: 1.5°C ; Benchmarking ; COP21 ; mitigation scenarios ; Paris Agreement ; technological change ; transition ; UNFCCC
Scopus关键词: alternative energy ; benchmarking ; emission ; environmental legislation ; greenhouse gas ; international agreement ; mitigation ; technological change ; United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
Scopus学科分类: nvironmental Science: General Environmental Science ; Earth and Planetary Sciences: Atmospheric Science
英文摘要: This article identifies and quantifies the 10 most important benchmarks for climate action to be taken by 2020–2025 to keep the window open for a 1.5°C-consistent GHG emission pathway. We conducted a comprehensive review of existing emissions scenarios, scanned all sectors and the respective necessary transitions, and distilled the most important short-term benchmarks for action in line with the long-term perspective of the required global low-carbon transition. Owing to the limited carbon budget, combined with the inertia of existing systems, global energy economic models find only limited pathways to stay on track for a 1.5°C world consistent with the long-term temperature goal of the Paris Agreement. The identified benchmarks include: Sustain the current growth rate of renewables and other zero and low-carbon power generation until 2025 to reach 100% share by 2050; No new coal power plants, reduce emissions from existing coal fleet by 30% by 2025; Last fossil fuel passenger car sold by 2035–2050; Develop and agree on a 1.5°C-consistent vision for aviation and shipping; All new buildings fossil-free and near-zero energy by 2020; Increase building renovation rates from less than 1% in 2015 to 5% by 2020; All new installations in emissions-intensive sectors low-carbon after 2020, maximize material efficiency; Reduce emissions from forestry and other land use to 95% below 2010 levels by 2030, stop net deforestation by 2025; Keep agriculture emissions at or below current levels, establish and disseminate regional best practice, ramp up research; Accelerate research and planning for negative emission technology deployment. Key policy insights These benchmarks can be used when designing policy options that are 1.5°C, Paris Agreement consistent. They require technology diffusion and sector transformations at a large scale and high speed, in many cases immediate introduction of zero-carbon technologies, not marginal efficiency improvements. For most benchmarks we show that there are signs that the identified needed transitions are possible: in some specific cases it is already happening. © 2017 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/80172
Appears in Collections:科学计划与规划

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作者单位: NewClimate Institute, Cologne, Germany; Environmental Systems Analysis Group, Wageningen University and Research Centre, Wageningen, Netherlands; Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany; Murdoch University, Perth, Australia; Ecofys UK Ltd, London, United Kingdom; Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands; Ecofys Netherlands B.V., Utrecht, Netherlands; Ecofys Germany GmbH, Berlin, Germany; Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
Kuramochi T,, Höhne N,, Schaeffer M,et al. Ten key short-term sectoral benchmarks to limit warming to 1.5°C[J]. Climate Policy,2018-01-01,18(3)
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