globalchange  > 科学计划与规划
DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1386540
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85041662679
论文题名:
The 1.5°C target and coal sector transition: at the limits of societal feasibility
作者: Spencer T; , Colombier M; , Sartor O; , Garg A; , Tiwari V; , Burton J; , Caetano T; , Green F; , Teng F; , Wiseman J
刊名: Climate Policy
ISSN: 1469-3062
EISSN: 1752-7457
出版年: 2018
卷: 18, 期:3
起始页码: 335
结束页码: 351
语种: 英语
英文关键词: 1.5°C target ; Coal mining sector ; coal transition ; political economy ; regional policy
Scopus关键词: capital provision ; coal mining ; employment ; policy approach ; political economy ; regional policy ; structural adjustment ; Australia ; China ; India ; South Africa
Scopus学科分类: nvironmental Science: General Environmental Science ; Earth and Planetary Sciences: Atmospheric Science
英文摘要: National and global mitigation scenarios consistent with 1.5°C require an early phase-out of coal in major coal-dependent countries, compared to standard technical and economic lifetimes. This appears particularly apparent in the light of recent massive investments in coal power capacity, the significant pipeline of coal power capacity coming online, as well as upstream supporting infrastructure. This article analyses the existing and planned capital stock in the coal power sector in the light of scenarios consistent with 1.5°C. The article analyses the political economy and labour aspects of this abrupt and significant transition, in the light of domestic equity and development objectives. Firstly, the article examines employment issues and reviews the existing literature and practice with support schemes for regional and sectoral structural adjustment for the reduction of coal sector activity. Secondly, the paper surveys the domestic political economy of coal sector transition in major coal using countries, namely Australia, South Africa, China and India. A final section provides conclusions and policy recommendations. Key policy insights Achieving mitigation pathways in line with limiting warming to 1.5°C, or even well-below 2°C, would require the early retirement of coal sector assets in production and consumption. Historically, coal sector transition has often been associated with prolonged socio-economic dislocation in affected regions. Policies to accompany affected regions are thus a crucial part of policy mixes to limit warming to 1.5°C and even 2°C. Such policies should be anticipatory and long-term, as opposed to reactive policies focused on short-term measures to smooth the transition. A survey of major coal using countries shows that each is a long way from putting in place a long-term framework to transition the coal sector. © 2017 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/80174
Appears in Collections:科学计划与规划

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作者单位: Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations, Paris, France; Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Vastrapur, Gujarat, India; Indian Institute of Information Technology, Allahabad, India; Energy Research Centre, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; Department of Government, London School of Economics & Political Science, London, United Kingdom; Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China; Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute and Professorial Fellow, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Spencer T,, Colombier M,, Sartor O,et al. The 1.5°C target and coal sector transition: at the limits of societal feasibility[J]. Climate Policy,2018-01-01,18(3)
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