DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2015.1075374
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84939559300
论文题名: Identifying climate services needs for national planning: insights from Malawi
作者: Vincent K ; , Dougill A ; J ; , Dixon J ; L ; , Stringer L ; C ; , Cull T
刊名: Climate Policy
ISSN: 1469-3062
EISSN: 1752-7457
出版年: 2017
卷: 17, 期: 2 起始页码: 189
结束页码: 202
语种: 英语
英文关键词: adaptation
; adaptation policy
; decision making
; science communication
; science–policy interface
; serious games
Scopus关键词: adaptive management
; decision making
; environmental policy
; national planning
; policy making
; public sector
; stakeholder
; Malawi
Scopus学科分类: nvironmental Science: General Environmental Science
; Earth and Planetary Sciences: Atmospheric Science
英文摘要: The importance of climate services, i.e. providing targeted, tailored, and timely weather and climate information, has gained momentum, but requires improved understanding of user needs. This article identifies the opportunities and barriers to the use of climate services for planning in Malawi, to identify the types of information that can better inform future adaptation decisions in sub-Saharan Africa. From policy analysis, stakeholder interviews, and a national workshop utilizing serious games, it is determined that only 5–10 day and seasonal forecasts are currently being used in government decision making. Impediments to greater integration of climate services include spatial and temporal scale, accessibility, timing, credibility and the mismatch in timeframes between planning cycles (1–5 years) and climate projections (over 20 years). Information that could more usefully inform planning decisions includes rainfall distribution within a season, forecasts with 2–3 week lead times, likely timing and location of extreme events in the short term (1–5 years), and projections (e.g. rainfall and temperature change) in the medium term (6–20 years). Development of a national set of scenarios would also make climate information more accessible to decision makers, and capacity building around such scenarios would enable its improved use in short- to medium-term planning. Improved climate science and its integration with impact models offer exciting opportunities for integrated climate-resilient planning across sub-Saharan Africa. Accrual of positive impacts requires enhanced national capacity to interpret climate information and implement communication strategies across sectors. Policy relevance For climate services to achieve their goal of improving adaptation decision making, it is necessary to understand the decision making process and how and when various types of weather and climate information can be incorporated. Through a case study of public sector planning in Malawi, this article highlights relevant planning and policy-making processes. The current use of weather and climate information and needs, over various timescales–sub-annual to short term (1–5 years) to medium term (6–20 years)–is outlined. If climate scientists working with boundary organizations are able to address these issues in a more targeted, sector-facing manner they will improve the uptake of climate services and the likelihood of climate-resilient decisions across sub-Saharan Africa. © 2015 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/80314
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划
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作者单位: Kulima Integrated Development Solutions (Pty) Ltd, Postnet Suite H79, Private Bag x9118, Pietermaritzburg, South Africa; School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; School of Architecture and Planning, University of the Witwatersrand, Private Bag 3, Johannesburg, South Africa
Recommended Citation:
Vincent K,, Dougill A,J,et al. Identifying climate services needs for national planning: insights from Malawi[J]. Climate Policy,2017-01-01,17(2)