globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2015.09.018
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84942012704
论文题名:
Future trends of global atmospheric antimony emissions from anthropogenic activities until 2050
作者: Zhou J; , Tian H; , Zhu C; , Hao J; , Gao J; , Wang Y; , Xue Y; , Hua S; , Wang K
刊名: Atmospheric Environment
ISSN: 0168-2563
EISSN: 1573-515X
出版年: 2015
卷: 120
起始页码: 385
结束页码: 392
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Antimony ; Fuel combustion ; Geospatial distribution characteristics ; Global emission inventory ; Scenario analysis ; Waste incineration
Scopus关键词: Air quality ; Antimony ; Distribution functions ; Emission control ; Fuels ; Incineration ; Normal distribution ; Quality control ; Waste incineration ; Anthropogenic activity ; Category contributions ; Control performance ; Distribution characteristics ; Emission inventories ; Fuel combustion ; Global emissions ; Scenario analysis ; Air pollution ; antimony ; fossil fuel ; air quality ; antimony ; atmospheric pollution ; combustion ; emission control ; emission inventory ; environmental impact assessment ; environmental legislation ; forecasting method ; future prospect ; global climate ; human activity ; incineration ; pollutant source ; spatial distribution ; spatiotemporal analysis ; standard (regulation) ; trend analysis ; air pollution ; air pollution control ; air quality ; Article ; climate change ; combustion ; controlled study ; decomposition ; global antimony emission ; greenhouse gas ; human ; incineration ; law ; priority journal ; reduction ; renewable energy ; trend study ; waste-to-energy plant ; Far East ; North America ; Western Europe
Scopus学科分类: Environmental Science: Water Science and Technology ; Earth and Planetary Sciences: Earth-Surface Processes ; Environmental Science: Environmental Chemistry
英文摘要: This paper presents the scenario forecast of global atmospheric antimony (Sb) emissions from anthropogenic activities till 2050. The projection scenarios are built based on the comprehensive global antimony emission inventory for the period 1995-2010 which is reported in our previous study. Three scenarios are set up to investigate the future changes of global antimony emissions as well as their source and region contribution characteristics. Trends of activity levels specified as 5 primary source categories are projected by combining the historical trend extrapolation with EIA International energy outlook 2013, while the source-specific dynamic emission factors are determined by applying transformed normal distribution functions. If no major changes in the efficiency of emission control are introduced and keep current air quality legislations (Current Legislation scenario), global antimony emissions will increase by a factor of 2 between 2010 and 2050. The largest increase in Sb emissions is projected from Asia due to large volume of nonferrous metals production and waste incineration. In case of enforcing the pollutant emission standards (Strengthened Control scenario), global antimony emissions in 2050 will stabilize with that of 2010. Moreover, we can anticipate further declines in Sb emissions for all continents with the best emission control performances (Maximum Feasible Technological Reduction scenario). Future antimony emissions from the top 10 largest emitting countries have also been calculated and source category contributions of increasing emissions of these countries present significant diversity. Furthermore, global emission projections in 2050 are distributed within a 1° × 1°latitude/longitude grid. East Asia, Western Europe and North America present remarkable differences in emission intensity under the three scenarios, which implies that source-and-country specific control measures are necessary to be implemented for abating Sb emissions from varied continents and countries in the future. © 2015 Elsevier Ltd.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/81483
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and oPollution Control, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China; Wuhan Environmental Protection Sciences Research Institute, Wuhan, China; State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China; National Engineering Research Center of Urban Environmental Pollution Control, Beijing Municipal Research Institute of Environmental Protection, Beijing, China

Recommended Citation:
Zhou J,, Tian H,, Zhu C,et al. Future trends of global atmospheric antimony emissions from anthropogenic activities until 2050[J]. Atmospheric Environment,2015-01-01,120
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