DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-2103-0
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85035111987
论文题名: The spatial distribution of Republican and Democratic climate opinions at state and local scales
作者: Mildenberger M. ; Marlon J.R. ; Howe P.D. ; Leiserowitz A.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 145, 期: 2018-03-04 起始页码: 539
结束页码: 548
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Global warming
; Spatial distribution
; Climate policy
; Geographic variation
; Local scale
; Opinion polls
; Post stratifications
; Climate models
英文摘要: Even as US partisan polarization shapes climate and energy attitudes, substantial heterogeneity in climate opinions still exists among both Republicans and Democrats. To date, our understanding of this partisan heterogeneity has been limited to analysis of national- or, less commonly, state-level opinion poll subsamples. However, the dynamics of political representation and issue commitments play out over more finely resolved state and local scales. Here we use previously validated multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) models (Howe et al., Nat Clim Chang 5(6):596–603 2015; Mildenberger et al., PLoS One 11(8):e0159774 2016) combined with a novel approach to measuring the distribution of party members to model, for the first time, the spatial distribution of partisan climate and energy opinions. We find substantial geographic variation in Republican climate opinions across states and congressional districts. While Democratic party members consistently think human-caused global warming is happening and support climate policy reforms, the intensity of their climate beliefs also varies spatially at state and local scales. These results have policy-relevant implications for the trajectory of US climate policy reforms. © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media B.V. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/83855
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Department of Political Science, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States; School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, 195 Prospect Street, New Haven, CT, United States; Department of Environment and Society, Quinney College of Natural Resources, Utah State University, 5215 Old Main Hill, Logan, UT, United States
Recommended Citation:
Mildenberger M.,Marlon J.R.,Howe P.D.,et al. The spatial distribution of Republican and Democratic climate opinions at state and local scales[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,145(2018-03-04)