DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-2099-5
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85032894303
论文题名: Incorporating climate change scenarios and water-balance approach to cumulative assessment models of solution potash Mining in the Canadian Prairies
作者: Clark R. ; Andreichuk I. ; Sauchyn D. ; McMartin D.W.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 145, 期: 2018-03-04 起始页码: 321
结束页码: 334
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate models
; Population statistics
; Potash
; Water resources
; Case study methodologies
; Climate change impact
; Climate change projections
; Climate change scenarios
; Hydroclimatic conditions
; Industrial development
; Monitoring and assessment
; Precipitation events
; Climate change
; assessment method
; climate change
; climate effect
; climate modeling
; environmental monitoring
; potash
; water availability
; water budget
; watershed
; Canada
; Prairie Provinces
英文摘要: Changing hydroclimatic conditions on the Canadian Prairies include significant shifts in the intensity, duration, and frequency of precipitation events, as well as temperature and seasonal shifts that affect water availability and quality. Concurrently, high-water-use-intensity industrial development, such as solution potash mining, is also lessening availability of timely water resources in agricultural regions and southern Prairie watersheds. This study used a three-pronged approach to (1) incorporate climate change projections within CEA, (2) identify the impact of projected and trending population and industry growth to inform water-balance calculations and recommendations within the study area, and (3) calculate the net impact on water availability of changing hydroclimate on a specific industry (solution potash mining) using a case study methodology for application to the Qu’Appelle Watershed. The results indicate that an implemented process approach is a good option for incorporating climate change models and methods within cumulative effects monitoring and assessment programs, despite challenges associated with regional variance and lack of long-term data. The outcomes of case study development and review indicate a climate change impact (26% difference) on the available water resources anticipated within the area. And combining this with the water-balance approach, it is recommended that water and climate modeling be completed at the regional scale to account for assumptions and scenario/model-based projections. © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media B.V. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/83859
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Environmental Systems Engineering, University of Regina, 3737 Wascana Parkway, Regina, SK, Canada; Prairie Adaptation Research Collaborative, University of Regina, 3737 Wascana Parkway, Regina, SK, Canada; Department of Geography, University of Regina, 3737 Wascana Parkway, Regina, SK, Canada
Recommended Citation:
Clark R.,Andreichuk I.,Sauchyn D.,et al. Incorporating climate change scenarios and water-balance approach to cumulative assessment models of solution potash Mining in the Canadian Prairies[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,145(2018-03-04)