globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-2100-3
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85032481178
论文题名:
Characterizing transient temperature trajectories for assessing the value of achieving alternative temperature targets
作者: Yohe G.W.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 145, 期:2018-03-04
起始页码: 469
结束页码: 479
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change ; Decision making ; Embedded systems ; Temperature ; Agricultural yields ; Decision makers ; Intergovernmental panel on climate changes ; Maximum temperature ; Natural systems ; Potential values ; Risk dimensions ; Transient temperature ; Real time systems ; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ; low temperature ; policy making ; real time ; risk assessment ; trajectory
英文摘要: Trajectories of policy-driven transient temperatures are reported here for four different maximum temperature targets through 2100 and a “no-policy” baseline because it is they, and their associated manifestations in other impact and risk dimensions, that natural and human and natural systems see in real time as their common future unfolds. It follows that it is they that inform both the reactive and (for human systems) anticipatory responses that embedded decision-makers would contemplate in the future. Median pathways as well as 5th and 95th percentile alternatives for each set of scenarios are reported in decadal increments from 2010 through 2100. Two illustrations (agricultural yields and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change “reasons for concern”) are presented to provide provocative context within which to begin to see their potential value across a wide range of applications. © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/83865
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Huffington Foundation Professor of Economics and Environmental Studies, Wesleyan University, Middletown, CT, United States

Recommended Citation:
Yohe G.W.. Characterizing transient temperature trajectories for assessing the value of achieving alternative temperature targets[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,145(2018-03-04)
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