DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1978-0
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85028892357
论文题名: The rise in global atmospheric CO2, surface temperature, and sea level from emissions traced to major carbon producers
作者: Ekwurzel B. ; Boneham J. ; Dalton M.W. ; Heede R. ; Mera R.J. ; Allen M.R. ; Frumhoff P.C.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 144, 期: 4 起始页码: 579
结束页码: 590
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Carbon dioxide
; Climate change
; Climate models
; Industrial emissions
; Sea level
; Surface properties
; Uncertainty analysis
; Climate impacts
; Developing nations
; Global mean surface temperature
; Global sea levels
; Global surface temperature
; Historical emissions
; Historical periods
; Surface temperatures
; Atmospheric temperature
; aerosol
; anthropogenic source
; carbon dioxide
; carbon emission
; climate modeling
; emission inventory
; global change
; industrial emission
; methane
; sea level change
; surface temperature
英文摘要: Researchers have quantified the contributions of industrialized and developing nations’ historical emissions to global surface temperature rise. Recent findings that nearly two-thirds of total industrial CO2 and CH4 emissions can be traced to 90 major industrial carbon producers have drawn attention to their potential climate responsibilities. Here, we use a simple climate model to quantify the contribution of historical (1880–2010) and recent (1980–2010) emissions traced to these producers to the historical rise in global atmospheric CO2, surface temperature, and sea level. Emissions traced to these 90 carbon producers contributed ∼57% of the observed rise in atmospheric CO2, ∼42–50% of the rise in global mean surface temperature (GMST), and ∼26–32% of global sea level (GSL) rise over the historical period and ∼43% (atmospheric CO2), ∼29–35% (GMST), and ∼11–14% (GSL) since 1980 (based on best-estimate parameters and accounting for uncertainty arising from the lack of data on aerosol forcings traced to producers). Emissions traced to seven investor-owned and seven majority state-owned carbon producers were consistently among the top 20 largest individual company contributors to each global impact across both time periods. This study lays the groundwork for tracing emissions sourced from industrial carbon producers to specific climate impacts and furthers scientific and policy consideration of their historical responsibilities for climate change. © 2017, The Author(s). Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/83888
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Union of Concerned Scientists, Washington, DC, United States; University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; London, United Kingdom; Climate Accountability Institute, Snowmass, CO, United States; North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, United States; Union of Concerned Scientists, Cambridge, MA, United States
Recommended Citation:
Ekwurzel B.,Boneham J.,Dalton M.W.,et al. The rise in global atmospheric CO2, surface temperature, and sea level from emissions traced to major carbon producers[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,144(4)