DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1960-x
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85019017750
论文题名: Probabilistic climate change scenarios for viticultural potential in Québec
作者: Roy P. ; Grenier P. ; Barriault E. ; Logan T. ; Blondlot A. ; Bourgeois G. ; Chaumont D.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 143, 期: 2018-01-02 起始页码: 43
结束页码: 58
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate models
; Climate change scenarios
; Climate scenarios
; Climatic conditions
; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project
; Growing degree days
; Minimum temperatures
; Northern latitudes
; Technical solutions
; Climate change
; agrometeorology
; climate change
; climate modeling
; CMIP
; cultivar
; fruit
; fruit production
; limiting factor
; seasonal variation
; viticulture
; Canada
; Outaouais
; Quebec [Canada]
; Saint Lawrence River
英文摘要: Climate conditions for Québec’s viticultural potential (VP) during upcoming decades are estimated through high-resolution probabilistic climate scenarios (PCS) based on a large ensemble of simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). VP is investigated through four temperature-related indices identified as current limiting factors for cold, northern latitudes: length of frost-free season (CNFD), growing degree-days (DDB10), annual winter minimum temperature (AWMT), and annual number of very cold days (ANVCD). Results show that by 2040–2050, most of southern Québec can reasonably expect favorable climatic conditions, with enough consecutive frost-free days and growing degree-days for growing current hybrid-grape varieties, as well as some Vitis vinifera grape varieties. Regions with new VP are identified, for example southern Outaouais and along the St-Lawrence River. Cold winter temperatures remain problematic, but technical solutions to this limiting factor exist. © 2017, The Author(s). Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/83976
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
There are no files associated with this item.
作者单位: Ouranos, 550, rue Sherbrooke Ouest, Montréal, QC, Canada; Ministère de l’Agriculture, des Pêcheries et de l’Alimentation du Québec (MAPAQ), 109, rue Saint-Charles, bureau 1.01B, Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu, QC, Canada; Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, 430 Gouin Boulevard, Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu, QC, Canada
Recommended Citation:
Roy P.,Grenier P.,Barriault E.,et al. Probabilistic climate change scenarios for viticultural potential in Québec[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,143(2018-01-02)