DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1846-3
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84995735638
论文题名: The risk of climate ruin
作者: Bettis O.D. ; Dietz S. ; Silver N.G.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 140, 期: 2 起始页码: 109
结束页码: 118
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Gas emissions
; Greenhouse gases
; Insurance
; Anthropogenic interference
; Climate system
; Global emissions
; Insurance companies
; Worst case scenario
; Risk perception
; adaptive management
; anthropogenic effect
; climate change
; emission control
; environmental economics
; global change
; greenhouse gas
; insurance system
; risk assessment
英文摘要: How large a risk is society prepared to run with the climate system? This is a question of the utmost difficulty and it admits a variety of perspectives. In this paper we draw an analogy with the management and regulation of insurance companies, which are required to hold capital against the risk of their own financial ruin. Accordingly, we suggest that discussions about how much to reduce global emissions of greenhouse gases could be framed in terms of managing the risk of ‘climate ruin’. This shifts the focus towards deciding upon an acceptable risk of the very worst-case scenario, and away from how “avoiding dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system” has come to be framed politically. Moreover it leads to the conclusion that, in terms of greenhouse gas emissions today and in the future, the world is running a higher risk with the climate system than insurance companies run with their own solvency. © 2016, The Author(s). Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84121
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Resource and Environment Board, Institute and Faculty of Actuaries, London, United Kingdom; ESRC Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, and Department of Geography and Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, United Kingdom
Recommended Citation:
Bettis O.D.,Dietz S.,Silver N.G.. The risk of climate ruin[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,140(2)