DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1602-8
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84957606208
论文题名: Sensitivity of future U.S. Water shortages to socioeconomic and climate drivers: a case study in Georgia using an integrated human-earth system modeling framework
作者: Scott M.J. ; Daly D.S. ; Hejazi M.I. ; Kyle G.P. ; Liu L. ; McJeon H.C. ; Mundra A. ; Patel P.L. ; Rice J.S. ; Voisin N.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 136, 期: 2 起始页码: 233
结束页码: 246
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Earth (planet)
; Electric power plants
; Electric power systems
; Energy resources
; Industrial plants
; Sensitivity analysis
; Surface waters
; Thermal processing (foods)
; Uncertainty analysis
; Water management
; Water supply
; Climatic changes
; Demand and supply
; Earth system modeling framework
; Human consumption
; Management decisions
; Socio-economic change
; Water demand and supply
; Water shortages
; Climate models
; climate effect
; decision making
; integrated approach
; nature-society relations
; resource scarcity
; river basin
; sensitivity analysis
; socioeconomic impact
; water demand
; water management
; water supply
; Georgia
; United States
英文摘要: One of the most important interactions between humans and climate is in the demand and supply of water. Humans withdraw, use, and consume water and return waste water to the environment for a variety of socioeconomic purposes, including domestic, commercial, and industrial use, production of energy resources and cooling thermal-electric power plants, and growing food, fiber, and chemical feed stocks for human consumption. Uncertainties in the future human demand for water interact with future impacts of climatic change on water supplies to impinge on water management decisions at the international, national, regional, and local level, but until recently tools were not available to assess the uncertainties surrounding these decisions. This paper demonstrates the use of a multi-model framework in a structured sensitivity analysis to project and quantify the sensitivity of future deficits in surface water in the context of climate and socioeconomic change for all U.S. states and sub-basins. The framework treats all sources of water demand and supply consistently from the world to local level. The paper illustrates the capabilities of the framework with sample results for a river sub-basin in the U.S. state of Georgia. © 2016, The Author(s). Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84315
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States; Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory/University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States; Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Battelle Seattle Research Center, 1100 Dexter Avenue N, Suite 400, Seattle, WA, United States
Recommended Citation:
Scott M.J.,Daly D.S.,Hejazi M.I.,et al. Sensitivity of future U.S. Water shortages to socioeconomic and climate drivers: a case study in Georgia using an integrated human-earth system modeling framework[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,136(2)