| DOI: | 10.1007/s10584-016-1608-2
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-84955284648
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| 论文题名: | Relative vulnerability to climate change of trees in western North America |
| 作者: | Case M.J.; Lawler J.J.
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| 刊名: | Climatic Change
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| ISSN: | 0165-0009
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| EISSN: | 1573-1480
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| 出版年: | 2016
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| 卷: | 136, 期:2 | | 起始页码: | 367
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| 结束页码: | 379
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| 语种: | 英语
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| Scopus关键词: | Conservation
; Forestry
; Adaptive capacity
; British Columbia
; Changing climate
; Expert knowledge
; High sensitivity
; Limited funds
; Multivariate approach
; Resource managers
; Climate change
; climate change
; deciduous tree
; fitness
; growth rate
; multivariate analysis
; resource management
; savanna
; species diversity
; vulnerability
; British Columbia
; California
; Canada
; United States
; Acer macrophyllum
; Quercus garryana
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| 英文摘要: | Many recent changes in tree species distributions, mortality, and growth rates have been linked to changes in climate. Managing forests in the face of climate change will require a basic understanding of which tree species will be most vulnerable to climate change and in what ways they will be vulnerable. We assessed the relative vulnerability to climate change of 11 tree species in western North America using a multivariate approach to quantify elements of sensitivity to climate change, exposure to climate change, and the capacity to adapt to climate change. Our assessment was based on a combination of expert knowledge, published studies, and projected changes in climate. Of the 11 species, Garry oak (Quercus garryana) was determined to be the most vulnerable, largely because of its relatively high sensitivity. Garry oak occupies some of the driest low woodland and savanna sites from British Columbia to California and is highly dependent on disturbances, such as periodic, low intensity fire. Big leaf maple (Acer macrophyllum) was determined to be the least vulnerable, largely because of its adaptive capacity. Big leaf maple can reproduce quickly after disturbances and its seeds can disperse long distances potentially allowing it to move in response to a changing climate. Our analyses provide a framework for assessing vulnerability and for determining why some species will likely be more vulnerable than others. Such information will be critical as natural resource managers and conservation practitioners strive to address the impacts of climate change with limited funds. © 2016, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84328
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| Appears in Collections: | 气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: | School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Box 352100, Seattle, WA, United States
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Case M.J.,Lawler J.J.. Relative vulnerability to climate change of trees in western North America[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,136(2)
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