DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1250-9
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84942363035
论文题名: The use of new economic decision support tools for adaptation assessment: A review of methods and applications, towards guidance on applicability
作者: Watkiss P. ; Hunt A. ; Blyth W. ; Dyszynski J.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2015
卷: 132, 期: 3 起始页码: 401
结束页码: 416
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Cost effectiveness
; Costs
; Decision making
; Decision support systems
; Economic analysis
; Iterative methods
; Risk assessment
; Risk management
; Uncertainty analysis
; Adaptation decisions
; Cost effectiveness analysis
; Decision making under uncertainty
; Economic appraisal
; Economic decisions
; Portfolio analysis
; Real options analysis
; Robust decisions
; Cost benefit analysis
; adaptation
; assessment method
; climate change
; cost-benefit analysis
; decision making
; decision support system
; economic analysis
; environmental planning
; uncertainty analysis
英文摘要: There is a growing focus on the economics of adaptation as policy moves from theory to practice. However, the techniques commonly used in economic appraisal have limitations in coping with climate change uncertainty. While decision making under uncertainty has gained prominence, economic appraisal of adaptation still uses approaches such as deterministic cost-benefit analysis. Against this background, this paper provides a critical review and assessment of existing economic decision support tools (cost-benefit analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis) an uncertainty framework (iterative risk management) and alternative tools that more fully incorporate uncertainty (real options analysis, robust decision making and portfolio analysis). The paper summarises each method, provides examples, and assesses their strengths and weaknesses for adaptation. The tools are then compared to identify key differences, and to identify when these approaches might be appropriate for specific applications in adaptation decision making. © 2014, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84520
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Paul Watkiss Associates, Oxford, United Kingdom; Department of Economics, University of Bath, Bath, United Kingdom; Oxford Energy Associates, Associate Fellow Chatham House and Visiting Research Fellow London Business School, Oxford, United Kingdom; Independent, Wolverhampton, United Kingdom; Senior Visiting Research Associate, Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
Recommended Citation:
Watkiss P.,Hunt A.,Blyth W.,et al. The use of new economic decision support tools for adaptation assessment: A review of methods and applications, towards guidance on applicability[J]. Climatic Change,2015-01-01,132(3)