DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1380-8
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84933674939
论文题名: Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison
作者: McFarland J. ; Zhou Y. ; Clarke L. ; Sullivan P. ; Colman J. ; Jaglom W.S. ; Colley M. ; Patel P. ; Eom J. ; Kim S.H. ; Kyle G.P. ; Schultz P. ; Venkatesh B. ; Haydel J. ; Mack C. ; Creason J.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2015
卷: 131, 期: 1 起始页码: 111
结束页码: 125
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Gas emissions
; Greenhouse gases
; Electric power sector
; Electricity demands
; Emission mitigation
; Emissions mitigation
; Integrated planning models
; Rising temperatures
; Temperature changes
; Temperature projection
; Climate change
; air temperature
; cost analysis
; demand analysis
; demand-side management
; electricity generation
; electricity supply
; emission control
; environmental policy
; greenhouse gas
; numerical model
; temperature effect
; United States
英文摘要: The electric power sector both affects and is affected by climate change. Numerous studies highlight the potential of the power sector to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Yet fewer studies have explored the physical impacts of climate change on the power sector. The present analysis examines how projected rising temperatures affect the demand for and supply of electricity. We apply a common set of temperature projections to three well-known electric sector models in the United States: the US version of the Global Change Assessment Model (GCAM-USA), the Regional Electricity Deployment System model (ReEDS), and the Integrated Planning Model (IPM®). Incorporating the effects of rising temperatures from a control scenario without emission mitigation into the models raises electricity demand by 1.6 to 6.5 % in 2050 with similar changes in emissions. The increase in system costs in the reference scenario to meet this additional demand is comparable to the change in system costs associated with decreasing power sector emissions by approximately 50 % in 2050. This result underscores the importance of adequately incorporating the effects of long-run temperature change in climate policy analysis. © 2015, The Author(s). Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84573
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
There are no files associated with this item.
作者单位: Joint Global Change Research Institute, PNNL, College Park, MD, United States; ICF International, Fairfax, VA, United States; National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO, United States; U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, United States
Recommended Citation:
McFarland J.,Zhou Y.,Clarke L.,et al. Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison[J]. Climatic Change,2015-01-01,131(1)