DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-1026-7
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84933670276
论文题名: The effects of climate sensitivity and carbon cycle interactions on mitigation policy stringency
作者: Calvin K. ; Bond-Lamberty B. ; Edmonds J. ; Hejazi M. ; Waldhoff S. ; Wise M. ; Zhou Y.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2015
卷: 131, 期: 1 起始页码: 35
结束页码: 50
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric aerosols
; Atmospheric radiation
; Climate models
; Sea level
; Climate sensitivity
; Economic implications
; Integrated assessment models
; Mitigation policies
; Policy scenario
; Radiative forcings
; Sea level rise
; Temperature changes
; Climate change
英文摘要: Climate sensitivity and climate-carbon cycle feedbacks interact to determine how global carbon and energy cycles will change in the future. While the science of these connections is well documented, their economic implications are not well understood. Here we examine the effect of climate change on the carbon cycle, the uncertainty in climate outcomes inherent in any given policy target, and the economic implications. We examine three policy scenarios—a no policy “Reference” (REF) scenario, and two policies that limit total radiative forcing—with four climate sensitivities using a coupled integrated assessment model. Like previous work, we find that, within a given scenario, there is a wide range of temperature change and sea level rise depending on the realized climate sensitivity. We expand on this previous work to show that temperature-related feedbacks on the carbon cycle result in more mitigation required as climate sensitivity increases. Thus, achieving a particular radiative forcing target becomes increasingly expensive as climate sensitivity increases. © 2013, The Author(s).
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84579
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
There are no files associated with this item.
作者单位: Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States
Recommended Citation:
Calvin K.,Bond-Lamberty B.,Edmonds J.,et al. The effects of climate sensitivity and carbon cycle interactions on mitigation policy stringency[J]. Climatic Change,2015-01-01,131(1)