DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1352-z
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84929965711
论文题名: Addressing uncertainty upstream or downstream of accounting for emissions reductions from deforestation and forest degradation
作者: Pelletier J. ; Busch J. ; Potvin C.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2015
卷: 130, 期: 4 起始页码: 635
结束页码: 648
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Deforestation
; Emission control
; Forestry
; Uncertainty analysis
; Emission reduction
; Emissions reduction
; Financial compensation
; Financial incentives
; Forest degradation
; International climate agreements
; Potential benefits
; Reducing emissions
; Cost reduction
; conservation planning
; deforestation
; emission control
; environmental degradation
; forest management
; incentive
; uncertainty analysis
; Panama [Central America]
英文摘要: Uncertainty in emissions and emission changes estimates constitutes an unresolved issue for a future international climate agreement. Uncertainty can be addressed ‘upstream’ through improvements in the technologies or techniques used to measure, report, and verify (MRV) emission reductions, or ‘downstream’ through the application of discount factors to more uncertain reductions. In the context of Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation (REDD+), we look at the effects of upstream interventions on reductions in uncertainty, using data from Panama. We also test five downstream proposals for discounting uncertainty of the potential credits received for reducing emissions. We compare the potential compensation received for these emission reductions to the cost of alternative upstream investments in forest monitoring capabilities. First, we find that upstream improvements can noticeably reduce the overall uncertainty in emission reductions. Furthermore, the costs of upstream investments in improved forest monitoring are relatively low compared to the potential benefits from carbon payments; they would allow the country to receive higher financial compensation from more certain emission reductions. When uncertainty is discounted downstream, we find that the degree of conservativeness applied downstream has a major influence on both overall creditable emission reductions and on incentives for upstream forest monitoring improvements. Of the five downstream approaches that we analyze, only the Conservativeness Approach and the Risk Charge Approach provided consistent financial incentives to reduce uncertainty upstream. We recommend specifying the use of one of these two approaches if REDD+ emission reductions are to be traded for emission reductions from other sectors. © 2015, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84611
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
There are no files associated with this item.
作者单位: Woods Hole Research Center, 149 Woods Hole Rd, Falmouth, MA, United States; Center for Global Development, 2055 L Street NW, Fifth Floor, Washington, DC, United States; Department of Biology, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Roosevelt Ave., Ciudad de Panamá, Panama
Recommended Citation:
Pelletier J.,Busch J.,Potvin C.. Addressing uncertainty upstream or downstream of accounting for emissions reductions from deforestation and forest degradation[J]. Climatic Change,2015-01-01,130(4)