DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1219-8
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85027947238
论文题名: Infrastructure and climate change: a study of impacts and adaptations in Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia
作者: Chinowsky P.S. ; Schweikert A.E. ; Strzepek N.L. ; Strzepek K.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2015
卷: 130, 期: 1 起始页码: 49
结束页码: 62
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Facings
; Roads and streets
; Transportation
; Uncertainty analysis
; African development banks
; Climate change modeling
; Climate scenarios
; Impacts and adaptation
; Policy options
; Potential risks
; Precipitation change
; Road infrastructures
; Climate change
; climate change
; climate effect
; climate modeling
; decadal variation
; flooding
; policy making
; precipitation (climatology)
; road
; temperature effect
; Malawi
; Mozambique
; Zambia
英文摘要: The African Development Bank has called for $40 Billion USD per year over the coming decades to be provided to African countries to address development issues directly related to climate change. The current study addresses a key component of these issues, the effect of climate change on the road infrastructure of Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia. The study incorporates a stressor-response approach to estimate the effects of projected precipitation, temperature, and flooding changes on the paved and unpaved road infrastructure of these countries. The paper highlights the result of running 425 climate scenarios for each road type and policy option from 2010 to 2050. Based on this broad analysis, it is estimated that the three southern African countries are facing a potential $596 million price tag based on median climate scenarios to maintain and repair roads as a result of damages directly related to temperature and precipitation changes from potential climate change through 2050. The challenge for policy makers is to determine the potential risk that a country is facing based on the uncertainties associated with the multiple aspects of climate change modeling. © 2014, UNU-WIDER. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84639
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Institute for Climate and Civil Systems, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States; Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States
Recommended Citation:
Chinowsky P.S.,Schweikert A.E.,Strzepek N.L.,et al. Infrastructure and climate change: a study of impacts and adaptations in Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia[J]. Climatic Change,2015-01-01,130(1)