DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0938-6
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84898543327
论文题名: Role of end-use technologies in long-term GHG reduction scenarios developed with the BET model
作者: Yamamoto H. ; Sugiyama M. ; Tsutsui J.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 123, 期: 2018-03-04 起始页码: 583
结束页码: 596
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Computer simulation
; Economics
; Electric power generation
; Electric utilities
; Greenhouse gases
; Technology
; Economic development
; End-use technologies
; Energy services
; Energy technologies
; Environmental constraints
; Global modeling
; Integrated assessment models
; Optimal growth
; Environmental technology
英文摘要: In this study, we develop a new integrated assessment model called the BET model (Basic Energy systems, Economy, Environment, and End-use Technology Model). It is a multi-regional, global model based on Ramsey's optimal growth theory and includes not only traditional end-use technologies but also advanced end-use technologies such as heat-pump water heaters and electric vehicles. Using the BET model, we conduct simulations and obtain the following results. (1) Advanced end-use technologies have an important role in containing carbon prices as well as GDP losses when GHG (greenhouse gas) constraints are stringent. (2) Electrification based on energy services progresses rapidly in scenarios with stringent GHG constraints. This is because electricity can be supplied by various methods of non-fossil power generation, and advanced end-use technologies can drastically improve energy-to-service efficiencies. The BET's results indicate the importance of analyses that systematically combine environmental constraints, end-use technologies, supply energy technologies, and economic development. © 2013 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84814
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Socioeconomic Research Center, Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, 1-6-1 Otemachi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, 100-8126, Japan; Environmental Science Research Laboratory, Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, 1646 Abiko, Abiko-shi, Chiba, 270-1194, Japan
Recommended Citation:
Yamamoto H.,Sugiyama M.,Tsutsui J.. Role of end-use technologies in long-term GHG reduction scenarios developed with the BET model[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,123(2018-03-04)