DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0824-2
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84902291587
论文题名: Uncertainty, cost-effectiveness and environmental safety of robust carbon trading: Integrated approach
作者: Ermolieva T. ; Ermoliev Y. ; Jonas M. ; Obersteiner M. ; Wagner F. ; Winiwarter W.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 124, 期: 3 起始页码: 633
结束页码: 646
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Costs
; Emission control
; Stochastic systems
; Asymmetric information
; Emission reduction
; Emissions reduction
; Environmental safety
; Explicit treatments
; Integrated approach
; Market structures
; Uncertainty reduction
; Uncertainty analysis
; commodity market
; cost-benefit analysis
; emission control
; emissions trading
; environmental economics
; numerical model
; safety
; trade-environment relations
; uncertainty analysis
; Europe
; Japan
; North America
英文摘要: Carbon markets, like other commodity markets, are volatile. They react to stochastic "disequilibrium" spot prices, which may be affected by inadequate policies, speculations and bubbles. The market-based emission trading, therefore, does not necessarily minimize abatement costs and achieve emission reduction goals. We introduce a basic stochastic model integrating emissions reduction, monitoring and trading costs allowing us to analyze the robustness of emission and uncertainty reduction policies under environmental safety constraints asymmetric information and other multiple anthropogenic and natural uncertainties. Explicit treatment of uncertainties provides incentives for reducing them before trading. We illustrate functioning of the robust market with numerical results involving such countries as the US, Australia, Canada, Japan, EU27, Russia, Ukraine. In particular, we analyze if the knowledge about uncertainties may affect portfolios of technological and trade policies or structure of the market and how uncertainty characteristics may affect market prices and change the market structure. © 2013 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84874
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria; Institute for Systems Sciences, Innovation and Sustainability Research (ISIS), University of Graz, Merangasse 18, 8010 Graz, Austria
Recommended Citation:
Ermolieva T.,Ermoliev Y.,Jonas M.,et al. Uncertainty, cost-effectiveness and environmental safety of robust carbon trading: Integrated approach[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,124(3)