DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1240-y
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84921912577
论文题名: Assessing policy robustness of climate change adaptation measures across sectors and scenarios
作者: Jäger J. ; Rounsevell M.D.A. ; Harrison P.A. ; Omann I. ; Dunford R. ; Kammerlander M. ; Pataki G.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 128, 期: 2018-03-04 起始页码: 395
结束页码: 407
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Biodiversity
; Decision making
; Ecology
; Economic and social effects
; Economics
; Ecosystems
; Land use
; Adaptation response
; Adaptation to climate changes
; Climate change adaptation
; Ecosystem services
; Integrated assessment platforms
; Socio-economic change
; Socio-economic development
; Technological advances
; Climate change
; adaptation
; climate change
; decision making
; ecosystem service
; environmental indicator
; environmental policy
; integrated approach
; socioeconomic impact
; stakeholder
; vulnerability
; Norway
; Scotland
; Switzerland
; United Kingdom
英文摘要: Recent research has increasingly focussed on whether long-term policies for adaptation to climate change are robust given uncertainties about future climate change, technological advances and alternative socio-economic development pathways. The aim of this study was to examine whether adaptation responses are ‘robust’, by looking at whether they reduce vulnerability to climate and socio-economic changes for a selection of ecosystem services across scenarios and two spatial scales: Europe (EU27 plus Norway and Switzerland) and a case study in Scotland. Outputs of the CLIMSAVE Integrated Assessment Platform (IAP) for multiple land-based sectors were used to test whether clusters of adaptation options referred to as policy archetypes reduced vulnerability to climate and socio-economic change for ecosystem service indicators related to biodiversity, flooding, water exploitation, land use diversity, land use intensity and food provision. The results show that the People-based Adaptation archetype is the most robust. This is because it reduces vulnerability by increasing coping capacity (people learn and build networks) and not only by reducing the impacts of climate and socio-economic change. By allowing comparative levels of vulnerability to be explored across sectors and scenarios, the CLIMSAVE approach provides a flexible tool for decision-makers and other stakeholders to increase understanding of which mixes of adaptation measures are robust responses to climate change. © 2014, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84914
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Sustainable Europe Research Institute, Garnisongasse 7, Vienna, Austria; School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, Drummond Street, Edinburgh, United Kingdom; Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University Centre for the Environment, South Parks Road, Oxford, United Kingdom; Environmental Social Science Research Group (ESSRG) and Department of Environmental Economics and Technology, Corvinus University of Budapest, Fővám tér 8, Budapest, Hungary
Recommended Citation:
Jäger J.,Rounsevell M.D.A.,Harrison P.A.,et al. Assessing policy robustness of climate change adaptation measures across sectors and scenarios[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,128(2018-03-04)