DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1202-4
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84919877414
论文题名: Integrated models, scenarios and dynamics of climate, land use and common birds
作者: Ay J.-S. ; Chakir R. ; Doyen L. ; Jiguet F. ; Leadley P.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 126, 期: 2018-01-02 语种: 英语
英文关键词: Common birds
; Incentive policy
; Integrated models
; Land use
Scopus关键词: Biodiversity
; Birds
; Climate change
; Climate models
; Conservation
; Decision support systems
; Biodiversity conservation
; Climate projection
; Conservation policy
; Decision supports
; Energy productions
; Incentive policies
; Integrated models
; Spatial resolution
; Land use
英文摘要: Reconciling food, fiber and energy production with biodiversity conservation is among the greatest challenges of the century, especially in the face of climate change. Model-based scenarios linking climate, land use and biodiversity can be exceptionally useful tools for decision support in this context. We present a modeling framework that links climate projections, private land use decisions including farming, forest and urban uses and the abundances of common birds as an indicator of biodiversity. Our major innovation is to simultaneously integrate the direct impacts of climate change and land use on biodiversity as well as indirect impacts mediated by climate change effects on land use, all at very fine spatial resolution. In addition, our framework can be used to evaluate incentive-based conservation policies in terms of land use and biodiversity over several decades. The results for our case study in France indicate that the projected effects of climate change dominate the effects of land use on bird abundances. As a conservation policy, implementing a spatially uniform payment for pastures has a positive effect in relatively few locations and only on the least vulnerable bird species. © 2014, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84920
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: CNRS, MNHN, UMR 7204 CESCO 55 rue Buffon, Paris, France; INRA, AgroParisTech, UMR 210 Économie Publique 16 rue Claude Bernard, Paris, France; GREThA, University Bordeaux IV, Pessac, France; University. Paris-Sud Laboratoire ESE UMR 8079 CNRS UPS AgroParisTech, Orsay, France
Recommended Citation:
Ay J.-S.,Chakir R.,Doyen L.,et al. Integrated models, scenarios and dynamics of climate, land use and common birds[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,126(2018-01-02)