DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062531
论文题名: Projected increase in diurnal and interdiurnal variations of European summer temperatures
作者: Cattiaux J. ; Douville H. ; Schoetter R. ; Parey S. ; Yiou P.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9000
EISSN: 1944-8731
出版年: 2015
卷: 42, 期: 3 起始页码: 899
结束页码: 907
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate projections
; emerging constraints
; future uncertainties
; temperature variability
Scopus关键词: Environmental impact
; Evapotranspiration
; Soil moisture
; Climate projection
; Cloud radiative effects
; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project
; Diurnal temperatures
; Emerging constraints
; Future uncertainties
; Surface evapotranspiration
; Temperature variability
; Climate change
; climate change
; diurnal variation
; environmental impact
; future prospect
; temperature effect
; twenty first century
; Europe
; Israel turkey meningoencephalomyelitis virus
英文摘要: Beyond the mean warming, climate change may modify the temperature variability, with consequences on extreme events causing societal and environmental impacts. Here we assess future changes in both the interdiurnal variability (ITV) and diurnal range (DTR) of European summer temperatures based on Fifth Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project projections under three 21st century scenarios. Both indices are projected to increase, with a rather good model agreement on the sign, while uncertainties remain on the amplitude. Extremely high day-to-day and diurnal temperature variations are expected to occur more frequently. Across models and scenarios, ITV and DTR increases vary primarily as functions of the decrease in surface evapotranspiration linked to the European summer drying. They are also partly explained by changes in the atmospheric dynamics and the surface cloud radiative effect. Model-dependent degrees of control of (i) ITV and DTR by mean temperature and (ii) surface evapotranspiration by soil moisture appear as helpful metrics to reduce future uncertainties in ITV and DTR projections. © 2015 The Authors. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84925086424&doi=10.1002%2f2014GL062531&partnerID=40&md5=2333772aa09661e680cf67a25407998f
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/8616
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: CNRM-GAME, UMR 3589, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Recommended Citation:
Cattiaux J.,Douville H.,Schoetter R.,et al. Projected increase in diurnal and interdiurnal variations of European summer temperatures[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2015-01-01,42(3).