DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062589
论文题名: The hydrological sensitivity to global warming and solar geoengineering derived from thermodynamic constraints
作者: Kleidon A. ; Kravitz B. ; Renner M.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9085
EISSN: 1944-8816
出版年: 2015
卷: 42, 期: 1 起始页码: 138
结束页码: 144
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change
; geoengineering
; hydrologic cycle
; thermodynamics
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric radiation
; Chemical equipment
; Climate models
; Energy balance
; Global warming
; Hydrology
; Interfacial energy
; Thermodynamics
; Climate model simulations
; Geoengineering
; Hydrologic cycles
; Model inter comparisons
; Steady-state response
; Steady-state temperature
; Thermodynamic constraints
; Turbulent heat fluxes
; Climate change
; climate modeling
; energy balance
; global warming
; heat flux
; hydrological cycle
; radiative forcing
; surface energy
; thermodynamics
英文摘要: We derive analytic expressions of the response of the hydrological cycle to surface warming from the surface energy balance in which turbulent heat fluxes are constrained by the thermodynamic limit of maximum power. For a given steady state temperature change, this approach predicts the transient and steady state response of surface energy partitioning and the hydrologic cycle. We show that the predicted hydrological sensitivities to greenhouse warming and solar geoengineering are comparable to the results from climate model simulations of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project. Although not all effects can be explained, our approach nevertheless predicts the general trend as well as the magnitude of the changes in the global-scale hydrological cycle surprisingly well. This implies that much of the global-scale changes in the hydrologic cycle can be robustly predicted by the response of the thermodynamically constrained surface energy balance to altered radiative forcing. Key Points Thermodynamic constraints predict hydrologic sensitivity to climate change Analytic derivation for rapid and steady state changes of the hydrologic cycle Analytical derivations mostly match climate model predictions ©2014. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84921749900&doi=10.1002%2f2014GL062589&partnerID=40&md5=3b989588d1f6febc60c28ec3657adde7
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/8701
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Biospheric Theory and Modelling Group, Max-Planck-Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
Recommended Citation:
Kleidon A.,Kravitz B.,Renner M.. The hydrological sensitivity to global warming and solar geoengineering derived from thermodynamic constraints[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2015-01-01,42(1).