globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2018.10.019
WOS记录号: WOS:000456222800024
论文题名:
Projected extreme temperature and precipitation of the Laurentian Great Lakes Basin
作者: Zhang, Liang1,2; Zhao, Yingming1,2; Hein-Griggs, David3; Barr, Lyndon1; Ciborowski, Jan J. H.1
通讯作者: Zhang, Liang
刊名: GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE
ISSN: 0921-8181
EISSN: 1872-6364
出版年: 2019
卷: 172, 页码:325-335
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Extreme temperature and precipitation ; Great Lakes Basin ; PRECIS
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SIMULATIONS ; ENSEMBLE ; IMPACTS ; WRF
WOS学科分类: Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Physical Geography ; Geology
英文摘要:

The Laurentian Great Lakes Basin has been subject to increasingly extreme weather events in the past seven decades. This study uses a regional climate model spanning the region to project summer maximum temperature (Tmax), winter minimum temperature (Tmin), and seasonal extremes of precipitation for the mid-century (2030-2059) and late-century (2060-2089) relative to the baseline period (1980-2009). The basin's southern portion (US side) summer Tmax increases are projected to be greater than those in the northern portion of the basin (Canadian side), whereas Canadian side winter Tmin increases will be greater than those on the US side. The annual number of extremely hot days (Tmax >= 32 degrees C) in this region during mid-century and late century periods is projected to rise by 6.1-15.3 days and 10.0-32.1 days relative to the baseline period (1980-2009) values (0.1-21.5 days), respectively; whereas the annual number of extremely cold days (Tmin <= -18 degrees C) is projected to be reduced by 3.9-6.2 days (mid-century) and 5.5-9.9 days (late century) compared to the baseline period (2.6-60.5 days). The annual number of extremely cold days is projected to remain unchanged in 23%-61% of the area over the Lakes. The Basin's annual precipitation is projected to rise continuously but the degree of change will vary by season. Winter and spring precipitations are projected to rise greatly, autumn precipitation will rise to a lesser extent, but summer precipitation is projected to decline relative to the baseline period. The annual number of extremely wet days ( >= 40 mm/day) over the Lakes only is projected to increase by between 0.3 and 0.6 days (mid-century) and 0.5-0.8 days (late century). The annual number of extremely wet days over land areas is projected to increase by 0.2-0.6 days and 0.5-0.8 days, respectively. However, about 20% of the region will also experience a reduced number of extremely wet days, which implies that future precipitation changes in this region may be quite different at smaller scales (e.g. county to county) than over larger scales. We propose that lake and land differences, seasonal variations, and changed and unchanged areas should all be considered in climate studies of regions within which large inland water bodies reside, as these regions will have similarities with the Great Lakes basin.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/127058
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Univ Windsor, Dept Biol Sci, 401 Sunset Ave, Windsor, ON N9B 3P4, Canada
2.Ontario Minist Nat Resources & Forestry, Aquat Res & Dev Sect, 301 Milo Rd, Wheatley, ON N0P 2P0, Canada
3.Univ Exeter, Prince Wales Rd, Exeter EX4 4SB, Devon, England

Recommended Citation:
Zhang, Liang,Zhao, Yingming,Hein-Griggs, David,et al. Projected extreme temperature and precipitation of the Laurentian Great Lakes Basin[J]. GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE,2019-01-01,172:325-335
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