globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14481
WOS ID: WOS:000453370700014
Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein
Author: Asseng, Senthold1; Martre, Pierre2; Maiorano, Andrea2,3; Roetter, Reimund P.4,5; O'; Leary, Garry J.6; Fitzgerald, Glenn J.7,8; Girousse, Christine9; Motzo, Rosella10; Giunta, Francesco10; Babar, M. Ali11; Reynolds, Matthew P.12; Kheir, Ahmed M. S.13; Thorburn, Peter J.14; Waha, Katharina14; Ruane, Alex C.15; Aggarwal, Pramod K.16; Ahmed, Mukhtar17,18; Balkovic, Juraj19,20; Basso, Bruno21,22; Biernath, Christian23; Bindi, Marco24; Cammarano, Davide25; Challinor, Andrew J.26,27; De Sanctis, Giacomo28; Dumont, Benjamin29; Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi30,31; Fereres, Elias32; Ferrise, Roberto24; Garcia-Vila, Margarita32; Gayler, Sebastian33; Gao, Yujing1; Horan, Heidi14; Hoogenboom, Gerrit1,34; Izaurralde, R. Cesar35,36; Jabloun, Mohamed37; Jones, Curtis D.35; Kassie, Belay T.1; Kersebaum, Kurt-Christian38; Klein, Christian23; Koehler, Ann-Kristin26; Liu, Bing1,39; Minoli, Sara40; San Martin, Manuel Montesino41; Mueller, Christoph40; Kumar, Soora Naresh42; Nendel, Claas38; Olesen, Jorgen Eivind37; Palosuo, Taru43; Porter, John R.41,44,45; Priesack, Eckart23; Ripoche, Dominique46; Semenov, Mikhail A.47; Stockle, Claudio17; Stratonovitch, Pierre47; Streck, Thilo33; Supit, Iwan48; Tao, Fulu43,49; Van der Velde, Marijn50; Wallach, Daniel51; Wang, Enli52; Webber, Heidi30,38; Wolf, Joost53; Xiao, Liujun39; Zhang, Zhao54; Zhao, Zhigan52,55; Zhu, Yan39; Ewert, Frank30,38
Corresponding Author: Asseng, Senthold
ISSN: 1354-1013
EISSN: 1365-2486
Publishing Year: 2019
Volume: 25, Issue:1, Pages:155-173
Language: 英语
Keyword: climate change adaptation ; climate change impact ; food security ; grain protein ; wheat
WOS Category: Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences
WOS Research Area: Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
English Abstract:

Wheat grain protein concentration is an important determinant of wheat quality for human nutrition that is often overlooked in efforts to improve crop production. We tested and applied a 32-multi-model ensemble to simulate global wheat yield and quality in a changing climate. Potential benefits of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration by 2050 on global wheat grain and protein yield are likely to be negated by impacts from rising temperature and changes in rainfall, but with considerable disparities between regions. Grain and protein yields are expected to be lower and more variable in most low-rainfall regions, with nitrogen availability limiting growth stimulus from elevated CO2. Introducing genotypes adapted to warmer temperatures (and also considering changes in CO2 and rainfall) could boost global wheat yield by 7% and protein yield by 2%, but grain protein concentration would be reduced by -1.1 percentage points, representing a relative change of -8.6%. Climate change adaptations that benefit grain yield are not always positive for grain quality, putting additional pressure on global wheat production.

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Document Type: 期刊论文
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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Affiliation: 1.Univ Florida, Agr & Biol Engn Dept, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA
2.Univ Montpellier, INRA, LEPSE, Montpellier SupAgro, Montpellier, France
3.European Food Safety Author, Parma, Italy
4.Univ Gottingen, Trop Plant Prod & Agr Syst Modelling TROPAGS, Gottingen, Germany
5.Univ Gottingen, Ctr Biodivers & Sustainable Land Use CBL, Gottingen, Germany
6.Agr Victoria Res, Dept Econ Dev Jobs Transport & Resources, Grains Innovat Pk, Horsham, Vic, Australia
7.Agr Victoria Res, Dept Econ Dev Jobs Transport & Resources, Horsham, Vic, Australia
8.Univ Melbourne, Fac Vet & Agr Sci, Creswick, Vic, Australia
9.Univ Clermont Auvergne, INRA, UMR GDEC, Clermont Ferrand, France
10.Univ Sassari, Dept Agr Sci, Sassari, Italy
11.Univ Florida, IFAS, Dept Agron, World Food Crops Breeding, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA
12.CIMMYT Int, Mexico City, DF, Mexico
13.Agr Res Ctr, Soils Water & Environm Res Inst, Giza, Egypt
14.CSIRO Agr & Food, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
15.NASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY 10025 USA
16.BISA CIMMYT, CGIAR Res Program Climate Change Agr & Food Secur, New Delhi, India
17.Washington State Univ, Biol Syst Engn, Pullman, WA 99164 USA
18.Pir Mehr Ali Shah Arid Agr Univ, Dept Agron, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
19.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Ecosyst Serv & Management Program, Laxenburg, Austria
20.Comenius Univ, Fac Nat Sci, Dept Soil Sci, Bratislava, Slovakia
21.Michigan State Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA
22.Michigan State Univ, WK Kellogg Biol Stn, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA
23.Helmholtz Zentrum Munchen, Inst Biochem Plant Pathol, German Res Ctr Environm Hlth, Neuherberg, Germany
24.Univ Florence, Dept Agrifood Prod & Environm Sci DISPAA, Florence, Italy
25.James Hutton Inst, Dundee, Scotland
26.Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Inst Climate & Atmospher Sci, Leeds, W Yorkshire, England
27.Int Ctr Trop Agr CIAT, Collaborat Res Program CGIAR & Future Earth Clima, Cali, Colombia
28.European Food Safety Author, GMO Unit, Parma, Italy
29.Univ Liege, Gembloux Agrobio Tech, Dept Terra & AgroBioChem, Gembloux, Belgium
30.Univ Bonn, Inst Crop Sci & Resource Conservat INRES, Bonn, Germany
31.Univ Gottingen, Dept Crop Sci, Gottingen, Germany
32.Univ Cordoba, IAS CSIC, Cordoba, Spain
33.Univ Hohenheim, Inst Soil Sci & Land Evaluat, Stuttgart, Germany
34.Univ Florida, Inst Sustainable Food Syst, Gainesville, FL USA
35.Univ Maryland, Dept Geog Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA
36.Texas A&M Univ, Texas A&M AgriLife Res & Extens Ctr, Temple, TX USA
37.Aarhus Univ, Dept Agroecol, Tjele, Denmark
38.Leibniz Ctr Agr Landscape Res, Muncheberg, Germany
39.Nanjing Agr Univ, Jiangsu Collaborat Innovat Ctr Modern Crop Prod, Jiangsu Key Lab Informat Agr,Minist Agr, Natl Engn & Technol Ctr Informat Agr,Key Lab Crop, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
40.Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Potsdam, Germany
41.Univ Copenhagen, Plant & Environm Sci, Taastrup, Denmark
42.Indian Agr Res Inst, Ctr Environm Sci & Climate Resilient Agr, IARI PUSA, New Delhi, India
43.Nat Resources Inst Finland Luke, Helsinki, Finland
44.Lincoln Univ, Lincoln, New Zealand
45.Univ Montpellier, CIRAD, CIHEAM IAMM, Montpellier SupAgro,INRA, Montpellier, France
46.INRA, US AgroClim, Paris, France
47.Rothamsted Res, Harpenden, Herts, England
48.Wageningen Univ, Water & Food & Water Syst & Global Change Grp, Wageningen, Netherlands
49.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
50.European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Ispra, Italy
51.INRA UMR AGIR, Castanet Tolosan, France
52.CSIRO Agr & Food, Canberra, ACT, Australia
53.Wageningen Univ, Plant Prod Syst, Wageningen, Netherlands
54.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing, Peoples R China
55.China Agr Univ, Dept Agron & Biotechnol, Beijing, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Asseng, Senthold,Martre, Pierre,Maiorano, Andrea,et al. Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2019-01-01,25(1):155-173
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