globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.3390/w11030531
WOS记录号: WOS:000464541300004
论文题名:
Economic Evaluation of Adaptation Pathways for an Urban Drainage System Experiencing Deep Uncertainty
作者: Babovic, Filip1,2; Mijic, Ana1
通讯作者: Babovic, Filip
刊名: WATER
ISSN: 2073-4441
出版年: 2019
卷: 11, 期:3
语种: 英语
英文关键词: urban water ; urban drainage ; deep uncertainty ; decision making
WOS学科分类: Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Water Resources
英文摘要:

As Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty methodologies are becoming more widely utilised, there has been a growth in the use and generation of Adaptation Pathways. These are meant to convey to policy makers how short-term adaptations can act as elements of longer-term adaptation strategies. However, sets of Adaptation Pathways do not convey the individual pathway's relative costs and benefits. To address this problem in relation to urban pluvial flooding, an economic analysis of a set of Adaptation Pathways was conducted. Initially, a methodology to conduct an economic assessment for deterministic climate change scenarios is developed. This methodology is then modified, using methods that underpin real options to assess how a pathway performs across a bundle of possible futures. This delivered information on how the performance of adaptations can vary across different climate change scenarios. By comparing the deterministic analysis to the new method, it was found that the order in which options are implemented greatly affects the financial performance of an Adaptation Pathway, even if the final combination of options is identical. The presented methodology has the potential to greatly improve decision making by informing policy makers on the potential performance of adaptation strategies being considered.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/131970
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Imperial Coll London, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, London SW7 2AZ, England
2.Imperial Coll London, Ctr Doctoral Training Sustainable Civil Engn, London SW7 2AZ, England

Recommended Citation:
Babovic, Filip,Mijic, Ana. Economic Evaluation of Adaptation Pathways for an Urban Drainage System Experiencing Deep Uncertainty[J]. WATER,2019-01-01,11(3)
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