globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.131
WOS记录号: WOS:000464488100103
论文题名:
Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models
作者: Krey, Volker1,2,3; Guo, Fei1; Kolp, Peter1; Zhou, Wenji1; Schaeffer, Roberto4; Awasthy, Aayushi5; Bertram, Christoph6; de Boer, Harmen-Sytze7,8; Fragkos, Panagiotis9; Fujimori, Shinichiro10,21; He, Chenmin11; Iyer, Gokul12; Keramidas, Kimon13; Koberle, Alexandre C.4,14; Oshiro, Ken15; Reis, Lara Aleluia16,17; Shoai-Tehrani, Bianka17,18; Vishwanathan, Saritha19; Capros, Pantelis9; Drouet, Laurent16,17; Edmonds, James E.12; Garg, Amit19; Gernaat, David E. H. J.7,8; Jiang, Kejun11; Kannavou, Maria9; Kitous, Alban13; Kriegler, Elmar6; Luderer, Gunnar6; Mathur, Ritu5; Muratori, Matteo20; Sano, Fuminori18; van Vuuren, Detlef P.7,8
通讯作者: Krey, Volker
刊名: ENERGY
ISSN: 0360-5442
EISSN: 1873-6785
出版年: 2019
卷: 172, 页码:1254-1267
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Integrated assessment models ; Techno-economic assumptions ; Capital and O&M costs ; Conversion efficiency ; Lifetime ; Levelised cost of energy
WOS关键词: ENERGY ; INVESTMENT ; SCENARIOS
WOS学科分类: Thermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS研究方向: Thermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
英文摘要:

Integrated assessment models are extensively used in the analysis of climate change mitigation and are informing national decision makers as well as contribute to international scientific assessments. This paper conducts a comprehensive review of techno-economic assumptions in the electricity sector among fifteen different global and national integrated assessment models. Particular focus is given to six major economies in the world: Brazil, China, the EU, India, Japan and the US. The comparison reveals that techno-economic characteristics are quite different across integrated assessment models, both for the base year and future years. It is, however, important to recognize that techno-economic assessments from the literature exhibit an equally large range of parameters as the integrated assessment models reviewed. Beyond numerical differences, the representation of technologies also differs among models, which needs to be taken into account when comparing numerical parameters. While desirable, it seems difficult to fully harmonize techno-economic parameters across a broader range of models due to structural differences in the representation of technology. Therefore, making techno-economic parameters available in the future, together with of the technology representation as well as the exact definitions of the parameters should become the standard approach as it allows an open discussion of appropriate assumptions. (C) 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/133978
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria
2.Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol NTNU, Ind Ecol Programme, Trondheim, Norway
3.Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol NTNU, Energy Transit Programme, Trondheim, Norway
4.Univ Fed Rio de Janeiro, COPPE, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
5.Energy & Resources Inst TERI, New Delhi, India
6.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany
7.PBL Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, The Hague, Netherlands
8.Univ Utrecht, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, Utrecht, Netherlands
9.ICCS, Athina, Greece
10.Kyoto Univ, Dept Environm Engn, Kyoto, Japan
11.ERI, Beijing, Peoples R China
12.PNNL, Joint Global Change Res Inst, Washington, DC USA
13.European Commiss, JRC, Seville, Spain
14.Imperial Coll London, Grantham Inst, London, England
15.Mizuho Informat & Res Inst Inc MHIR, Tokyo, Japan
16.RFF CMCC European Inst Econ & Environm EIEE, Milan, Italy
17.Ctr Euromediterraneo Cambiamenti Climatici CMCC, Lecce, Italy
18.Res Inst Innovat Technol Earth RITE, Kizugawa, Japan
19.IIMA, Ahmadabad, Gujarat, India
20.Natl Renewable Energy Lab, Golden, CO USA
21.NIES, Ctr Social & Environm Syst Res, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

Recommended Citation:
Krey, Volker,Guo, Fei,Kolp, Peter,et al. Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models[J]. ENERGY,2019-01-01,172:1254-1267
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