globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1029/2019GL081898
WOS记录号: WOS:000477616200045
论文题名:
Precipitation From Persistent Extremes is Increasing in Most Regions and Globally
作者: Du, Haibo1,2; Alexander, Lisa V.3,4; Donat, Markus G.3,4,5; Lippmann, Tanya3,4,6; Srivastava, Arvind7; Salinger, Jim8; Kruger, Andries9,10; Choi, Gwangyong11; He, Hong S.1,2; Fujibe, Fumiaki12; Rusticucci, Matilde13; Nandintsetseg, Banzragch14,15; Manzanas, Rodrigo16; Rehman, Shafiqur17; Abbas, Farhat18; Zhai, Panmao19; Yabi, Ibouraima20; Stambaugh, Michael C.2; Wang, Shengzhong1; Batbold, Altangerel15; de Oliveira, Priscilla Teles21; Adrees, Muhammad18; Hou, Wei22; Zong, Shengwei1; Santos e Silva, Claudio Moises23; Lucio, Paulo Sergio23; Wu, Zhengfang1
通讯作者: Wu, Zhengfang
刊名: GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN: 0094-8276
EISSN: 1944-8007
出版年: 2019
卷: 46, 期:11, 页码:6041-6049
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: FUTURE CHANGES ; CLIMATE ; TEMPERATURE ; EVENTS ; 20TH-CENTURY ; INDEXES ; PATTERN
WOS学科分类: Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Geology
英文摘要:

Extreme precipitation often persists for multiple days with variable duration but has usually been examined at fixed duration. Here we show that considering extreme persistent precipitation by complete event with variable duration, rather than a fixed temporal period, is a necessary metric to account for the complexity of changing precipitation. Observed global mean annual-maximum precipitation is significantly stronger (49.5%) for persistent extremes than daily extremes. However, both globally observed and modeled rates of relative increases are lower for persistent extremes compared to daily extremes, especially for Southern Hemisphere and large regions in the 0-45 degrees N latitude band. Climate models also show significant differences in the magnitude and partly even the sign of local mean changes between daily and persistent extremes in global warming projections. Changes in extreme precipitation therefore are more complex than previously reported, and extreme precipitation events with varying duration should be taken into account for future climate change assessments.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/140420
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Northeast Normal Univ, Key Lab Geog Proc & Ecol Secur Changbai Mt, Minist Educ, Sch Geog Sci, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R China
2.Univ Missouri, Sch Nat Resource, Columbia, MO USA
3.Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia
4.Univ New South Wales, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Sydney, NSW, Australia
5.Barcelona Supercomp Ctr, Barcelona, Spain
6.Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Fac Earth & Life Sci, Dept Earth Sci, Amsterdam, Netherlands
7.Indian Meteorol Dept, Natl Climate Ctr, Pune, Maharashtra, India
8.Univ Tasmania, Tasmanian Inst Agr, Hobart, Tas, Australia
9.South African Weather Serv, Climate Serv, Pretoria, South Africa
10.Univ Pretoria, Dept Geog Geoinformat & Meteorol, Fac Nat & Agr Sci, Pretoria, South Africa
11.Jeju Natl Univ, Geog Educ, Jeju Si, South Korea
12.Tokyo Metropolitan Univ, Dept Geog, Hachioji, Tokyo, Japan
13.Univ Buenos Aires, CONICET, Dept Ciencias Atmosfera & Oceanos, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
14.Natl Univ Mongolia, Sch Arts & Sci, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
15.Informat & Res Inst Meteorol Hydrol & Environm, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
16.Univ Cantabria, Meteorol Grp, Inst Phys Cantabria IFCA, CSIC, Santander, Spain
17.King Fahd Univ Petr & Minerals, Res Inst, Ctr Engn Res, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
18.Govt Coll Univ, Dept Environm Sci & Engn, Faisalabad, Pakistan
19.Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, State Key Lab Severe Weather, Beijing, Peoples R China
20.Univ Abomey Calavi, Dept Geog & Planning, Climatol Lab, Abomey Calavi, Benin
21.Univ Estadual Paulista, Fac Ciencias, Sao Paulo, Brazil
22.China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China
23.Univ Fed Rio Grande do Norte, Programa Posgrad Ciencias Climat, Natal, RN, Brazil

Recommended Citation:
Du, Haibo,Alexander, Lisa V.,Donat, Markus G.,et al. Precipitation From Persistent Extremes is Increasing in Most Regions and Globally[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019-01-01,46(11):6041-6049
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