"Forecasting and Understanding Trends, Uncertainty and Responses of North Pacific Marine Ecosystems" (FUTURE) is the flagship integrative Scientific Program undertaken by the member nations and affiliates of the North Pacific Marine Science Organization (PICES). A principal goal of FUTURE is to develop a framework for investigating interactions across disciplinary dimensions in order to most effectively understand large-scale ecosystem changes and resulting impacts on coastal communities. These interactions are complex, often nonlinear, occur across a range of spatial and temporal scales, and can complicate management approaches to shared and trans-boundary problems. Here, we present a Social-Ecological-Environmental Systems (SEES) framework to coordinate and integrate marine science within PICES. We demonstrate the application of this framework by applying it to four "crisis" case studies: (a) species alternation in the western North Pacific; (b) ecosystem impacts of an extreme heat wave in the eastern North Pacific; (c) jellyfish blooms in the western North Pacific; and (d) Pacific basin-scale warming and species distributional shifts. Our approach fosters a common transdisciplinary language and knowledge base across diverse expertise, providing the basis for developing better integrated end-to-end models. PICES provides the structure required to address these and other multi-national, inter-disciplinary issues we face in the North Pacific. An effective and comprehensive SEES approach is broadly applicable to understanding and maintaining resilient marine ecosystems within a changing climate.
1.NOAA, Southwest Fisheries Sci Ctr, Monterey, CA 93940 USA 2.Natl Inst Fisheries Sci, Busan, South Korea 3.Georgia Inst Technol, Program Ocean Sci & Engn, Atlanta, GA 30332 USA 4.Japan Fisheries Res & Educ Agcy, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan 5.Pacific Sci Res Fisheries Ctr TINRO, Vladivostok, Russia 6.Fisheries & Oceans Canada, Pacific Biol Stn, Nanaimo, BC, Canada 7.RAS, VI Ilichev Pacific Oceanol Inst, Vladivostok, Russia 8.State Ocean Adm, Natl Marine Environm Monitoring Ctr, Dalian, Peoples R China 9.State Ocean Adm, Inst Oceanog 1, Qingdao, Shandong, Peoples R China 10.Univ South Carolina, Dept Biol Sci, Columbia, SC 29208 USA 11.Univ Tokyo, Atmosphere & Ocean Res Inst, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan 12.Jeju Int Marine Sci Ctr Res & Educ, Jeju, South Korea 13.Inst Ocean Sci, PICES Secretariat, Sidney, BC, Canada 14.PICES FUTURE Sci Steering Comm, Sidney, BC, Canada
Recommended Citation:
Bograd, Steven J.,Kang, Sukyung,Di Lorenzo, Emanuele,et al. Developing a Social-Ecological-Environmental System Framework to Address Climate Change Impacts in the North Pacific[J]. FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE,2019-01-01,6