globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1007/s11625-019-00714-8
论文题名:
Seeds of good anthropocenes: developing sustainability scenarios for Northern Europe
作者: Raudsepp-Hearne C.; Peterson G.D.; Bennett E.M.; Biggs R.; Norström A.V.; Pereira L.; Vervoort J.; Iwaniec D.M.; McPhearson T.; Olsson P.; Hichert T.; Falardeau M.; Aceituno A.J.
刊名: Sustainability Science
ISSN: 18624065
出版年: 2020
卷: 15, 期:2
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Anthropocene ; Futures ; Scenarios ; Sustainability ; Transformation
英文摘要: Scenario development helps people think about a broad variety of possible futures; however, the global environmental change community has thus far developed few positive scenarios for the future of the planet and humanity. Those that have been developed tend to focus on the role of a few common, large-scale external drivers, such as technology or environmental policy, even though pathways of positive change are often driven by surprising or bottom-up initiatives that most scenarios assume are unchanging. We describe an approach, pioneered in Southern Africa and tested here in a new context in Northern Europe, to developing scenarios using existing bottom-up transformative initiatives to examine plausible transitions towards positive, sustainable futures. By starting from existing, but marginal initiatives, as well as current trends, we were able to identify system characteristics that may play a key role in sustainability transitions (e.g., gender issues, inequity, governance, behavioral change) that are currently under-explored in global environmental scenarios. We suggest that this approach could be applied in other places to experiment further with the methodology and its potential applications, and to explore what transitions to desirables futures might be like in different places. © 2019, The Author(s).
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/158979
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: McGill School of Environment and Department of Natural Resource Sciences, McGill University, Ste-Anne-de-Bellevue, Montreal, QC H9X3V9, Canada; Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; Centre for Complex Systems in Transition, Stellenbosch University, 19 Jonkershoek Road, Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands; Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University Centre for the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom; Urban Studies Institute, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University, 55 Park Place NE 849E, Atlanta, GA 30303, United States; Urban Systems Lab, The New School, 79 Fifth Avenue, 16th Fl, New York, NY 10003, United States; Hichert and Associates Pty Ltd., 9 Cylnor Street, Somerset West, 7130, South Africa

Recommended Citation:
Raudsepp-Hearne C.,Peterson G.D.,Bennett E.M.,et al. Seeds of good anthropocenes: developing sustainability scenarios for Northern Europe[J]. Sustainability Science,2020-01-01,15(2)
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