| DOI: | 10.2172/1034232
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| 报告号: | PNNL-21073
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| 报告题名: | China's Building Energy Use: A Long-Term Perspective based on a Detailed Assessment |
| 作者: | Eom, Jiyong; Clarke, Leon E.; Kim, Son H.; Kyle, G. Page; Patel, Pralit L.
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| 出版年: | 2012
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| 发表日期: | 2012-01-13
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| 国家: | 美国
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | China Buildings
; Building Energy Modeling
; Scenario Analysis
; Integrated Assessment Model
; Electrification
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| 中文主题词: | 碳
; 建筑物
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| 主题词: | CARBON
; BUILDINGS
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| 英文摘要: | We present here a detailed, service-based model of China's building energy use, nested in the GCAM (Global Change Assessment Model) integrated assessment framework. Using the model, we explore long-term pathways of China's building energy use and identify opportunities of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The inclusion of a structural model of building energy demands within an integrated assessment framework represents a major methodological advance. It allows for a structural understanding of the drivers of building energy consumption while simultaneously considering the other human and natural system interactions that influence changes in the global energy system and climate. We also explore a range of different scenarios to gain insights into how China's building sector might evolve and what the implications might be for improved building energy technology and carbon policies. The analysis suggests that China's building energy growth will not wane anytime soon, although technology improvement will put downward pressure on this growth. Also, regardless of the scenarios represented, the growth will involve the continued, rapid electrification of the buildings sector throughout the century, and this transition will be accelerated by the implementation of carbon policy. |
| URL: | http://www.osti.gov/scitech/servlets/purl/1034232
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 研究报告
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/40768
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| Appears in Collections: | 过去全球变化的重建
影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
全球变化的国际研究计划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
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| 1034232.pdf（2780KB） | 研究报告 | -- | 开放获取 | | View
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Eom, Jiyong,Clarke, Leon E.,Kim, Son H.,et al. China's Building Energy Use: A Long-Term Perspective based on a Detailed Assessment. 2012-01-01.
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