| DOI: | 10.1002/2013GL058284
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| 论文题名: | Estimating tropical cyclone precipitation risk in Texas |
| 作者: | Zhu L.; Quiring S.M.; Emanuel K.A.
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| 刊名: | Geophysical Research Letters
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| ISSN: | 0094-8339
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| EISSN: | 1944-8070
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| 出版年: | 2013
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| 卷: | 40, 期:23 | | 起始页码: | 6225
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| 结束页码: | 6230
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | precipitation (1854)
; risk (4328)
; synthetic simulation (4316)
; tropical cyclones (3372)
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| Scopus关键词: | Environmental prediction
; National center for atmospheric researches
; Rainfall algorithms
; Return periods
; Spatial heterogeneity
; Synthetic approach
; Synthetic simulation
; Tropical cyclone
; Algorithms
; Climatology
; Hurricanes
; Rain
; Risk perception
; algorithm
; climatology
; estimation method
; numerical model
; precipitation (climatology)
; rainfall
; risk factor
; tropical cyclone
; Corpus Christi
; Houston
; Texas
; United States
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| 英文摘要: | This paper uses a new rainfall algorithm to simulate the long-term tropical cyclone precipitation (TCP) climatology in Texas based on synthetic tropical cyclones generated from National Center for Atmospheric Research/National Centers for Environmental Prediction reanalysis data from 1980 to 2010. The synthetic TCP climatology shows good agreement with the available observations with respect to TCP return periods, especially for daily and event TCP. Areas within 200 km of the coast have higher TCP risk with two hot spots located near Houston and Corpus Christi. Based on this technique, there are locations in Texas where a TCP event > 1000 mm has a return period of 500 years and a TCP event > 1400 mm has a return period of 1000 years. There is a high degree of spatial heterogeneity in TCP risk in central Texas due to the topography. Key Points A new rainfall algorithm is developed based on synthetic tropical cyclones TCP risk by the synthetic approach and observations show good agreement Locations near Houston and Corpus Christi have elevated TCP risk ©2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. |
| URL: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84891594908&doi=10.1002%2f2013GL058284&partnerID=40&md5=62a36c5f2bea420e924e5d1f2fbb77ac
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/5603
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| Appears in Collections: | 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: | Department of Geography, Texas AandM University, TAMU 3147, College Station, TX 77843-3147, United States
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Zhu L.,Quiring S.M.,Emanuel K.A.. Estimating tropical cyclone precipitation risk in Texas[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2013-01-01,40(23).
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