DOI: 10.1002/2013JD020062
论文题名: A lagged response to the 11 year solar cycle in observed winter Atlantic/European weather patterns
作者: Gray L.J. ; Scaife A.A. ; Mitchell D.M. ; Osprey S. ; Ineson S. ; Hardiman S. ; Butchart N. ; Knight J. ; Sutton R. ; Kodera K.
刊名: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
ISSN: 21698996
出版年: 2013
卷: 118, 期: 24 起始页码: 13405
结束页码: 13420
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate
; solar cycle
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric pressure
; Atmospheric temperature
; Climate models
; Computer simulation
; Sea level
; Solar energy
; 11-year solar cycle
; climate
; Climate simulation
; Mean sea level pressures
; North Atlantic oscillations
; Possible mechanisms
; Sea surface temperature (SST)
; Solar cycle
; Upper atmosphere
; air-sea interaction
; climate modeling
; data set
; North Atlantic Oscillation
; observational method
; sea level pressure
; sea surface temperature
; solar cycle
; Atlantic Ocean
; Atlantic Ocean (North)
; Europe
英文摘要: The surface response to 11 year solar cycle variations is investigated by analyzing the long-term mean sea level pressure and sea surface temperature observations for the period 1870-2010. The analysis reveals a statistically significant 11 year solar signal over Europe, and the North Atlantic provided that the data are lagged by a few years. The delayed signal resembles the positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) following a solar maximum. The corresponding sea surface temperature response is consistent with this. A similar analysis is performed on long-term climate simulations from a coupled ocean-atmosphere version of the Hadley Centre model that has an extended upper lid so that influences of solar variability via the stratosphere are well resolved. The model reproduces the positive NAO signal over the Atlantic/European sector, but the lag of the surface response is not well reproduced. Possible mechanisms for the lagged nature of the observed response are discussed. Key Points 11-year solar signal detected over N. Atlantic/Europe Signal is evident if data are lagged by ~3 years HadGEM climate model simulates signal but not the lag ©2013. The Authors. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/63083
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: NCAS-Climate, Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, Department of Physics, Oxford University, Parks Rd., Oxford OX1 3PU, United Kingdom; Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom; NCAS-Climate, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan
Recommended Citation:
Gray L.J.,Scaife A.A.,Mitchell D.M.,et al. A lagged response to the 11 year solar cycle in observed winter Atlantic/European weather patterns[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,2013-01-01,118(24)