DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1889-5
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85008217230
论文题名: Avoiding an uncertain catastrophe: climate change mitigation under risk and wealth heterogeneity
作者: Brown T.C. ; Kroll S.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 141, 期: 2 起始页码: 155
结束页码: 166
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Disaster prevention
; Technology transfer
; Climate change mitigation
; Collective action
; Environmental problems
; Loss probability
; Scientific uncertainty
; Wealth inequality
; Climate change
; catastrophic event
; climate change
; climate conditions
; experimental study
; future prospect
; heterogeneity
; mitigation
; risk assessment
; uncertainty analysis
英文摘要: For environmental problems such as climate change, uncertainty about future conditions makes it difficult to know what the goal of mitigation efforts should be, and inequality among the affected parties makes it hard for them to know how much they each should do toward reaching the goal. We examine the effects of scientific uncertainty and wealth inequality in experiments where subjects decide how much to contribute toward reducing a common threat. We also explore how the framing of uncertainty affects collective action. Our results suggest that uncertainty lowers contributions, but contributions remain surprisingly high even in treatments with a variable loss probability, where such behavior is individually suboptimal (and where the underlying game is a prisoner’s dilemma). Further, we find that the characterization of uncertainty is crucial and that inequality need not lower contributions at all. © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht (outside the USA). Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84069
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Rocky Mountain Research Station, U.S. Forest Service, Fort Collins, CO, United States; Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States
Recommended Citation:
Brown T.C.,Kroll S.. Avoiding an uncertain catastrophe: climate change mitigation under risk and wealth heterogeneity[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,141(2)