DOI: 10.1016/j.envexpbot.2019.103872
论文题名: The climatic challenge: Which plants will people use in the next century?
作者: Borrell J.S. ; Dodsworth S. ; Forest F. ; Pérez-Escobar O.A. ; Lee M.A. ; Mattana E. ; Stevenson P.C. ; Howes M.-J.R. ; Pritchard H.W. ; Ballesteros D. ; Kusumoto B. ; Ondo I. ; Moat J. ; Milliken W. ; Ryan P. ; Ulian T. ; Pironon S.
刊名: Environmental and Experimental Botany
ISSN: 988472
出版年: 2020
卷: 170 语种: 英语
英文关键词: Biodiversity
; Climate change
; Conservation
; Crop breeding
; Crop wild relatives
; Domestication
; Food security
; Medicinal plants
; Resilience
; Sustainable development
Scopus关键词: climate change
; conservation planning
; crop production
; global perspective
; maize
; medicinal plant
; nutrient limitation
; rice
; selective breeding
; specialization
; trade-off
; wheat
; wild population
; Animalia
; Triticum aestivum
; Zea mays
英文摘要: More than 31,000 useful plant species have been documented to fulfil needs and services for humans or the animals and environment we depend on. Despite this diversity, humans currently satisfy most requirements with surprisingly few plant species; for example, just three crops – rice, wheat and maize – comprise more than 50% of plant derived calories. Here, we synthesize the projected impact of global climatic change on useful plants across the spectrum of plant domestication. We illustrate the demographic, spatial, ecophysiological, chemical, functional, evolutionary and cultural traits that are likely to characterise useful plants and their resilience in the next century. Using this framework, we consider a range of possible pathways for future human use of plants. These are centred on two trade-offs: i) diversification versus specialization in the range of species we utilize, and ii) substitution of the species towards those better suited to future climate versus facilitating adaptation in our existing suite of dominant useful plants. In the coming century, major challenges to agriculture and biodiversity will be dominated by increased climatic variation, shifting species ranges, disruption to biotic interactions, nutrient limitation and emerging pests and pathogens. These challenges must be mitigated, whilst enhancing sustainable production to meet the needs of a growing population and a more resource intensive standard of living. With the continued erosion of biodiversity, our future ability to choose among these pathways and trade-offs is likely to be diminished. © 2019 Elsevier B.V. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/159593
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, Richmond, Surrey TW9 3AE, United Kingdom; School of Life Sciences, University of Bedfordshire, Luton, LU1 3JU, United Kingdom; Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, Wellcome Trust Millennium Building, Wakehurst Place, Ardingly, West Sussex, RH17 6TN, United Kingdom; Natural Resources Institute, University of Greenwich, Chatham, ME4 4TB, United Kingdom; Institute of Pharmaceutical Science, King's College London, London, SE1 9NH, United Kingdom; Faculty of Science, University of the Ryukyus, Nishihara, Okinawa, Japan
Recommended Citation:
Borrell J.S.,Dodsworth S.,Forest F.,et al. The climatic challenge: Which plants will people use in the next century?[J]. Environmental and Experimental Botany,2020-01-01,170