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| An extreme negative Indian Ocean Dipole event in 2016: dynamics and predictability [期刊论文] Climate Dynamics, 2018-01-01, 51 (2018-01-02 Lu B.; Ren H.-L.; Scaife A.A.; Wu J.; Dunstone N.; Smith D.; Wan J.; Eade R.; MacLachlan C.; Gordon M. View/Download:35/0 |
| A Bayesian framework for verification and recalibration of ensemble forecasts: How uncertain is NAO predictability? [期刊论文] Journal of Climate, 2016-01-01, 29 (3 Siegert S.; Stephenson D.B.; Sansom P.G.; Scaife A.A.; Eade R.; Arribas A. View/Download:24/0 |
| Skilful predictions of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation one year ahead [期刊论文] Nature Geoscience, 2016-01-01, 9 (11 Dunstone N.; Smith D.; Scaife A.; Hermanson L.; Eade R.; Robinson N.; Andrews M.; Knight J. View/Download:27/0 |
| Earth's energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models [期刊论文] Geophysical Research Letters, 2015-01-01, 42 (4 Smith D.M.; Allan R.P.; Coward A.C.; Eade R.; Hyder P.; Liu C.; Loeb N.G.; Palmer M.D.; Roberts C.D.; Scaife A.A. View/Download:44/0 |
| Skillful long-range prediction of European and North American winters [期刊论文] Geophysical Research Letters, 2014-01-01, 41 (7 Scaife A.A.; Arribas A.; Blockley E.; Brookshaw A.; Clark R.T.; Dunstone N.; Eade R.; Fereday D.; Folland C.K.; Gordon M.; Hermanson L.; Knight J.R.; Lea D.J.; MacLachlan C.; Maidens A.; Martin M.; Peterson A.K.; Smith D.; Vellinga M.; Wallace E.; Waters J.; Williams A. View/Download:63/0 |
| Forecast cooling of the Atlantic subpolar gyre and associated impacts [期刊论文] Geophysical Research Letters, 2014-01-01, 41 (14 Hermanson L.; Eade R.; Robinson N.H.; Dunstone N.J.; Andrews M.B.; Knight J.R.; Scaife A.A.; Smith D.M. View/Download:21/0 |
| Do seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions underestimate the predictability of the real world? [期刊论文] Geophysical Research Letters, 2014-01-01, 41 (15 Eade R.; Smith D.; Scaife A.; Wallace E.; Dunstone N.; Hermanson L.; Robinson N. View/Download:21/0 |
| Predictions of climate several years ahead using an improved decadal prediction system [期刊论文] Journal of Climate, 2014-01-01, 27 (20 Knight J.R.; Andrews M.B.; Smith D.M.; Arribas A.; Colman A.W.; Dunstone N.J.; Eade R.; Hermanson L.; Maclachlan C.; Andrew Peterson K.; Scaife A.A.; Williams A. View/Download:38/0 |
| Comments on "Multiyear predictions of North Atlantic hurricane frequency: Promise and limitations" [期刊论文] Journal of Climate, 2014-01-01, 27 (1 Smith D.M.; Dunstone N.J.; Eade R.; Fereday D.; Hermanson L.; Murphy J.M.; Pohlmann H.; Robinson N.; Scaife A.A. View/Download:24/0 |
| Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: The role of ensemble dispersion [期刊论文] Geophysical Research Letters, 2013-01-01, 40 (21 Ho C.K.; Hawkins E.; Shaffrey L.; Bröcker J.; Hermanson L.; Murphy J.M.; Smith D.M.; Eade R. View/Download:35/0 |